Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35993b77d4e7322353199c68773070f7e31cbfffb58a5228e83d813df8371a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 40c | 170,000$68,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 1c | 105,473$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.34 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 98,951$59,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,559.25 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 0c | 77,840$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 77,637$51,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,805.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 40,725$31,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,721.19 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 25,355$6,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,287.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 33c | 24,390$8,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,147.04 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 22,393$9,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.65 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 14,596$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,935.39 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 13,073$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.98 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 12,139$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.25 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 11,370$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.53 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 0c | 10,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 8,700$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 60c | 8,318$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.18 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 7,297$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 30c | 6,342$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.83 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 32c | 6,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 5,021$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.42 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 60c | 4,928$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.2 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 41c | 4,909$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 27c | 4,833$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 4,746$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 3,546$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.89 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 78c | 3,545$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.28 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Yes | 57c | 2,815$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,669$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.45 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 38c | 2,654$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.72 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 2,617$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.04 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,205$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.71 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 28c | 2,199$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,157$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 14c | 2,031$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 53c | 1,933$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.7 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,858$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.04 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 33c | 1,830$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,788$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.15 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 34c | 1,779$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.72 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 1,774$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.68 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 68c | 1,706$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.96 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Yes | 41c | 1,648$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.66 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 24c | 1,562$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.85 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 78c | 1,530$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 52c | 1,516$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.3 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,503$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 67c | 1,499$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.51 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 1,391$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.73 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 1,355$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.16 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 60c | 1,300$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 14c | 1,223$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 35c | 1,210$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.38 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…32fdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 237 | 47.3%112 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 69c | 1,175$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.86 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 1,145$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 70c | 1,137$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 61c | 1,050$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 50c | 1,038$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.37 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 1,033$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.02 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 68c | 999.98$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.05 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 846.06$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 50c | 843.87$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.94 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 805.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 51c | 802.21$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 28c | 799.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.39 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 36c | 774.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 73c | 758.19$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 41c | 709.93$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 708$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.32 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 666.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 633.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.94 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…9d61backed Yes | 40c | 620$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Yes | 67c | 597.35$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.49 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 557.71$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Yes | 38c | 552.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 79c | 538.12$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.69 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 55c | 532.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 29c | 508.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Norway leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.