TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d63…2cbf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
714
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT36631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 366 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.87
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+715.8%+$27,200
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Michael Olise: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$658
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,723
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 366 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT9345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)backed NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)backed NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$67.78
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$483.55
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.99
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$138.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$33.33
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$22.53
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+900%+$587.13
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$711.11
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$734.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.36
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$602.34
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,030.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$153.43
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+273.8%+$2,738.18
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,486Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4,494.07
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,950
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5,999.99
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$5,080
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$177.69
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Acosta (+1.5)backed Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,310
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.6
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Mochizukibacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggermanbacked Bublik/Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$291.61
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$718
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$159.98
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$335
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$354.09
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$900
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$5,480.06
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,902Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$5,284.54
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,152.94
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+246.9%+$16,369.98
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$210.47
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.63
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,435.14
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.31
Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Hyperliquid flips Bybit in SOL Open Interest in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sky win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$300
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$329.71
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,119.93
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,999.97
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+167.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$4,800
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$1,998.07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,867Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,622.33
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$273.95
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119.4
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,140.69
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,360
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$233.03
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$540
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.2%+$3,593.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+132.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$950
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,300
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.9%+$449.26
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,479.99
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$59.99
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.95
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,653Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,991.21
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,356.48
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,530
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: BK Hacken 1 - 1 AIK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25%+$114.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.