Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4468fb13d675838846a4b021a0540340a4393519bde226662396ab07a3c405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ac…4b2bbacked Yes | 9c | 11,387$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…7e97backed Yes | 12c | 10,496$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124c…7f95backed Yes | 10c | 5,514$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 8c | 1,750$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 1,724$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…350dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,146$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…4cd8backed Yes | 7c | 1,069$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…916fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,028$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6885…4c50backed Yes | 10c | 1,011$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…46a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…2fb2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…0595backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…83b0backed Yes | 9c | 554.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…9ebcbacked Yes | 10c | 520.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…d243backed Yes | 10c | 511.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…b39ebacked Yes | 9c | 466.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5252backed Yes | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…f038backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 8c | 417$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…b433backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…9877backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 8c | 279.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…155ebacked Yes | 11c | 271.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…1028backed Yes | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes | 10c | 189.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae98…421fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…6641backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…b58abacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f5…703fbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…8581backed Yes | 9c | 136.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25f…084cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…4b47backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…9929backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…fa20backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…d090backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…9343backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb1…6eb0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea1…3ed0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…e34abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…080ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…04e2backed Yes | 9c | 111.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…d1b7backed Yes | 10c | 105.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…179cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…85b4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.