TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes15c12,710$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,765.863138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes13c1,665$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.872259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c1,437$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.8588631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes14c1,430$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.793050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed No1c1,168$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.432751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Yes14c1,026$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+160.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8969…2cabbacked Yes14c1,017$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.791910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes14c1,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No80c888$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes14c857.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.144918.4%9 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.292060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes18c641.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…916fbacked Yes15c635.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.53616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5a…1137backed Yes23c466.32$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14dc…40c5backed Yes17c452.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.61450%7 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+73.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes14c428.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.57714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes14c428.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.571040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes14c400$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+104.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f2…8d4cbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b0…dc22backed Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c89…7de2backed Yes14c356.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+137.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc513…d243backed Yes15c337$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.62450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+209.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes14c333.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.269332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb51…45c0backed Yes14c322.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c318.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3915938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…5187backed Yes17c299.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+199.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee99…ffcabacked Yes14c274.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes13c271.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.65722.8%13 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a8…83b0backed Yes14c267.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes12c264.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+169.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f4…2ccfbacked Yes14c250$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes73c244.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes14c240$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+82%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2958…007dbacked Yes17c235.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a3…0a49backed Yes26c231$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9146…6ab0backed Yes14c230$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+136.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes14c229.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.433036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c2…ad90backed Yes15c227.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+122.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…9e57backed Yes16c220.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf686…bb58backed Yes14c214.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.29520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2139…3700backed Yes14c214$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Yes14c206$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.162770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+62.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x14ba…ed95backed Yes14c205.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.55633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dee…03b0backed Yes14c203.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0818…dfd9backed Yes15c197.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+568.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes14c197.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+197.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a6b3backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2950…5dc2backed Yes14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9b…3483backed Yes12c144.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+346.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e1…3d5dbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+123.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8829…7d99backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8f…266bbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+109.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x712a…317ebacked Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+357.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9134…bed9backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…ab44backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+346.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes20c140$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.65427.8%15 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d4…8fcdbacked Yes25c139.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.38425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0060…5dd4backed Yes14c136.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b02…a231backed Yes16c135.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+530.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…cb13backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ca…eb3bbacked Yes15c130.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+199.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes14c128.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+111.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes24c105.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75a…b549backed Yes15c101.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608d…3933backed Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+103.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe753…0f9cbacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e8…c261backed Yes13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63f8…23d5backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2872…b03ebacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+102%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf71…1548backed Yes16c96.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+543.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x608b…2276backed Yes14c96.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8759…aca3backed Yes36c92.79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes28c89.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01f4…92b4backed Yes15c88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda38…668ebacked Yes15c87.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+571.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Yes14c85.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed No66c83.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x650e…f967backed Yes15c80.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+241.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes14c80.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51de…dcabbacked Yes38c79.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes15c73.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…ec5bbacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…ad68backed Yes51c48.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab1…ce50backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No55c33.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010c…798abacked Yes51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked No77c30.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.