TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc330…9794

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.78
Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.65
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will FURIA Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Aurora Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.4
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.7
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.35
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+367.3%+$843.07
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3112.9%4 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.89
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+541%+$1,704.23
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.44
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.03
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.59
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.38
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$31.72
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Elon tweet 725-749 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.51
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+1,023.8%+$1,065.65
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$38.21
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$171.28
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$521.18
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+276.1%+$624
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+41.8%+$20.62
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$56.58
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$985
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.36
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.85
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$296
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$181.2
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,312.81
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$121.16
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$202.5
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$29.48
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$111.23
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,297.38
Swell airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$241.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$44.31
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150.19
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.3%+$90.34
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$64.56
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$555
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+77.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+197.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.4%+$116.76
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$177.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.