AI · resolved market
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a3817151dc325488a648556954ab623f15f73089368421e091daa5650974c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24be…6e89backed No | 1c | 79,092$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…0a45backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…f2b5backed No | 0c | 32,266$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 8c | 23,815$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…e48fbacked No | 0c | 19,601$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…2187backed No | 0c | 13,234$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…cf95backed No | 0c | 12,644$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…1218backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…27cabacked Yes | 46c | 9,780$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…4598backed No | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 60c | 6,648$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…8d96backed No | 54c | 5,400$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…35c9backed No | 0c | 4,490$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f9b5backed No | 54c | 4,380$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,706$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed No | 1c | 3,064$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 2c | 3,015$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 0c | 2,414$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 42c | 2,355$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 67c | 1,287$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 1,202$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.79 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…2b7cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,028$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 64c | 1,009$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…5fa0backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…1d21backed Yes | 61c | 999.98$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed No | 40c | 891.8$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…81aabacked Yes | 57c | 879.97$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 53c | 827.81$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.19 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 43c | 760.71$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 42c | 702.03$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ad63backed No | 2c | 699.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 60c | 644.09$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…c43ebacked Yes | 60c | 559.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 45c | 552.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.26 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 506.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 79c | 476.02$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed No | 5c | 391.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 383.08$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 16c | 383$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 369.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 52c | 356.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 42c | 355.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 43c | 348.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 31c | 318.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…1e75backed Yes | 46c | 313.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 8c | 296.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 48c | 273.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 69c | 271.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…a576backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 41c | 255.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf302…e00abacked Yes | 40c | 247.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…9a59backed No | 43c | 233.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…fff2backed No | 14c | 232$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 47c | 219.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…1f69backed Yes | 52c | 217.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 42c | 215.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 67c | 205.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes | 65c | 205$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed Yes | 36c | 200.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…f70ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a8f8backed No | 29c | 198.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 71c | 194$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b4a9backed Yes | 42c | 190.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed Yes | 38c | 190.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 37c | 185.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…45c5backed Yes | 55c | 180.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Yes | 57c | 179.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…d3fcbacked Yes | 58c | 174.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…f10bbacked Yes | 46c | 172.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 44c | 171.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 26c | 165.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Yes | 29c | 164.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…d68ebacked Yes | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 36c | 154.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…5d99backed Yes | 65c | 154.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed No | 41c | 154.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14bd…60a5backed No | 42c | 151.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…17e3backed Yes | 54c | 147.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…1b78backed Yes | 35c | 143.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 39c | 139.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…07d2backed Yes | 76c | 130.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 43c | 122.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 74c | 119$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 59c | 116.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…9f15backed Yes | 35c | 114.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?this page
- Will a U.S. government shutdown be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will a major Kamchatka earthquake be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will an Air India aviation disaster be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the DeepSeek R1 launch be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the GPT-5 launch be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the Israel–Iran conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
- Will the Liberation Day tariff policy be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.