TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91be…2641

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.2
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.08
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$107.07
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$340.99
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.64
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$193.32
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will Ivica Zubac lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.3
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.52
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$608.76
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$456.89
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.13
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.27
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+101%+$151.25
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.05
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$57.09
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.22
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$371.18
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$110.9
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.87
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$177.6
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$602.68
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.01
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.25
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$169.9
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$218.89
Will "Train Dreams" win Best Cinematography at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$4.6
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$38.4
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.46
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$226.08
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.88
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$88.53
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$52.08
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.24
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$419.2
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$164.56
Will Charlie Hunnam (Monster The Ed Gein Story) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.28
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.24
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.01
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$463.98
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$132.62
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$321.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$285.38
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98.49
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$72.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$262.5
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$55.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$125.37
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+733.3%+$249.04
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$162.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$118.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$154.37
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$249.36
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$114
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$75.4
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$81.3
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$658.08
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$201.24
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$36.96
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.88
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.8%+$12.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.36
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$192.06
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$203.72
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+244.8%+$112.89
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$165.58
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+284.6%+$122.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.28
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$121.37
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$266
Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$34.22
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$36.63
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$50.88
Will Brendan Gill be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$140.03
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.24
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$224.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$808.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+222.6%+$453.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$255.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$252.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$162.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$160.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.3%+$182.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$139.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.