TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$376,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes15c2,295$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.544047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed Yes12c1,825$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.512454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes15c1,811$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.072548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes13c1,780$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.92544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes15c1,769$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.792339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd0…0823backed Yes1c1,674$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb407…a978backed Yes11c1,658$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes3c1,591$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1722140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes7c1,544$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.63894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes16c1,485$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes12c1,449$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.96319%12 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes15c1,430$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.583246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe788…2c65backed Yes1c1,419$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Yes13c1,333$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.082744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c1,322$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74422.4%1 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes16c1,299$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+133.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes12c1,259$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.423033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes16c1,248$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.462846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes9c1,205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1222836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes2c1,180$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.397915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed No80c1,159$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked Yes13c1,152$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed Yes11c1,148$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.282642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked Yes12c1,133$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No79c1,045$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.451741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c1,033$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.587622.4%17 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+132.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes16c1,031$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes11c996$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.562937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed No78c966$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked Yes13c963$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.353259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes13c950$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes13c897$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed Yes19c878$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeac…95c6backed Yes15c847$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.232240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes13c820$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.412548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes14c782$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.593435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes13c773$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.311947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed Yes13c772$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+124.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes16c766.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.92548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c9…af45backed Yes13c766$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeee4…9964backed Yes14c764$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.621650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…2d87backed Yes15c743$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf049…29fdbacked Yes13c736.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.631526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes20c733$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.61560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes16c732$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.122733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked Yes14c721$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes12c717$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…12f8backed Yes15c704$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.461952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed Yes20c696$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.21338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes15c688$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.952339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed Yes16c683$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.281758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes13c669$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.972630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes22c665$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.32030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes15c642$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.492850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7166…f815backed Yes15c642$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed Yes16c634$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.164235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Yes11c619$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.091435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes16c614$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes16c610$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes16c610$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.232045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e4e…6533backed Yes11c594$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.341040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6388…f668backed Yes20c589$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.361040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6cd7backed Yes20c561$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.21145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked No79c543$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.031050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes16c519$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.043339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed Yes11c516$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.762737%10 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes13c507$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.912147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes14c505$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c495.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.021,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes12c494$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.281346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed Yes17c486$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.082245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes12c485$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.282369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes13c483$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes16c477$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.323450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes16c472$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.522634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes16c461.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.913250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes14c458$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.141747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…e392backed Yes15c454$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes11c437$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462025%5 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed Yes11c428$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.082152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed Yes15c419$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.851070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59ad…e59abacked Yes16c417$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.721560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes9c414.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8712930.2%39 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes9c412$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.086048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes16c407$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.123256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes16c404$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.643036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c400.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes16c399$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dd…5514backed Yes21c394$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c385.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1615010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfa…3888backed Yes12c384$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.962944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed Yes16c373$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes7c372.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes11c358$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.382642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes16c346$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.362548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed Yes16c341$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.562040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes16c333$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a8…2a44backed No80c333$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes10c330.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3677437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes11c324$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.