TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeee4…9964

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$256.48
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.88
Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$141.68
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.9
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$295.24
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$85.75
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$134.89
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+360.5%+$1,684.65
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.44
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300.44
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$223.08
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$20.46
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$89.59
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+107.1%+$301.52
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.25
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.52
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.62
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$82.62
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.85
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+478%+$353.13
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$274.56
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$245.39
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$258.48
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.7
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$336.6
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$130.75
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$127.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.65
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$211.47
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.9
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.95
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104.32
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$159.96
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+141.9%+$323.82
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$355.86
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$194.32
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.78
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$312.3
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$305
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.04
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$80.64
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$409.5
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+334.8%+$361.9
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$62.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.2
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$182.36
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.26
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.59
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$215
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.44
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.99
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$62.4
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$96.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$378.78
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$232.36
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$237.66
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+54.6%+$31.08
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$170.4
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$275.93
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100.74
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$286.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.32
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$125.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+525%+$133.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$864
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$119.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$310.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$223.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$571.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.