Music · resolved market
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7427b891a0134371023603986edc842ce369e83dcc42f300e7a03049295d4b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 21c | 11,904$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 20c | 10,757$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…14f1backed Yes | 80c | 10,120$8,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 28c | 7,581$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 73c | 7,000$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 6,018$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.85 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 75c | 5,767$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.49 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 32c | 5,191$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a8…8da4backed Yes | 79c | 4,830$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 72c | 4,669$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.95 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 77c | 4,350$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 17c | 4,207$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 80c | 3,614$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 71c | 3,319$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.99 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 68c | 3,042$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 20c | 3,011$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…8ca2backed Yes | 78c | 2,978$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 20c | 2,222$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.51 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed No | 20c | 1,979$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 62c | 1,567$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 62c | 1,550$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 62c | 1,546$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed No | 30c | 1,529$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes | 80c | 1,381$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…9b72backed Yes | 70c | 1,353$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 38c | 1,330$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 29c | 1,278$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,149$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,146$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 63c | 1,135$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 37c | 1,118$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Yes | 78c | 1,101$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…52f6backed Yes | 71c | 1,089$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 69c | 1,081$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…5709backed No | 43c | 1,078$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 76c | 1,063$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 38c | 1,038$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 38c | 1,033$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 1,011$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 38c | 1,004$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 62c | 979$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 63c | 978$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…508cbacked Yes | 72c | 976.53$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 63c | 943$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 61c | 942$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 38c | 909$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 62c | 909$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 63c | 905$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 38c | 893$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 884.75$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.17 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 38c | 839$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 28c | 834.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 37c | 827$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 32c | 817.75$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 38c | 802$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 38c | 766$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 31c | 759.35$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 80c | 753.71$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 62c | 745$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 62c | 740$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 38c | 731$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 38c | 720$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 62c | 715$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed No | 37c | 713$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 41c | 713$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 38c | 709$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 39c | 706$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 38c | 674$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 37c | 643$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 79c | 633.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 38c | 624$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 78c | 623.39$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…b4d8backed Yes | 70c | 602.24$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 26c | 578.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 577.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed No | 38c | 568$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 38c | 562$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 547$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 63c | 538$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 38c | 537$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791a…ff06backed Yes | 78c | 526.18$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 29c | 521.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 69c | 520.5$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 510$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.54 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4721backed Yes | 70c | 509.6$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 41c | 509$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…ce7abacked Yes | 58c | 507$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 38c | 505$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 62c | 503$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 70c | 501.4$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 71c | 500.8$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 77c | 500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaca…5a0fbacked Yes | 70c | 491.5$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b4a9backed Yes | 67c | 488.41$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 62c | 486$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 28c | 481$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes | 49c | 473$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Alex Warren win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Lola Young win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will MK.gee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will beabadoobee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.