TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8a0…5cc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.54
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+43.3%+$13.86
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.8%+$59.57
Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+109.2%+$26.44
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$139.38
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+34.7%+$14.83
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$113.81
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32.55
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$901.52
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+45.8%+$75.08
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+91.1%+$65.46
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$182.83
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.96
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$88.96
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,572Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+34.1%+$535.77
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+39.2%+$225.05
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,285.3%+$152.53
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$277.81
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$689.54
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+43.4%+$493.66
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$192.03
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$501.09
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+27%+$344.48
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$374.02
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20.06
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$115.38
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+49.8%+$39.5
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$249.09
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$147.35
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+30.1%+$31.46
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$284.78
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$877.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$599.67
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+54.7%+$620.92
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+57.4%+$192.68
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.2%+$355.42
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$289.45
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+52.4%+$41.22
Will Puka Nacua be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$73.44
Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+46.6%+$110.17
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+102.5%+$37.9
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+57.5%+$564.31
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.2%+$28.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$127.32
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.17
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.4%+$375.96
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$519.36
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+72.1%+$475.83
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42.82
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+29.8%+$79.12
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$220.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-82.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.06
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$34.7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or higher on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35.68
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.04
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40%+$170.46
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$104.26
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+113.6%+$310.05
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$263.9
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$117.16
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$144.51
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$190.01
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$304.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-74.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+34.7%+$69.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+31.4%+$8.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$16.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$92.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.