NFL · resolved market
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb532369cc85e5d6076961e746032becdafc10548032b5f3285e496ccaf32524a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $936,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 55c | 36,557$20,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,218.88 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 27c | 26,348$7,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,021.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 35c | 20,292$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094.58 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 33c | 17,780$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.06 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 14,609$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.33 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a75…b874backed Yes | 34c | 13,679$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 33c | 12,439$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…4ff7backed No | 61c | 10,391$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…33eebacked No | 62c | 9,760$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 19c | 9,466$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.05 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 54c | 9,297$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc737…d217backed Yes | 24c | 9,050$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 22c | 9,014$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…3bb4backed No | 59c | 8,900$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 29c | 8,182$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.33 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…0a48backed Yes | 9c | 7,613$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 10c | 7,544$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 7,363$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.41 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b53cbacked No | 66c | 7,354$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…9656backed Yes | 37c | 7,090$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 11c | 6,898$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.55 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 11c | 6,428$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…0362backed No | 66c | 6,325$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 22c | 6,212$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.39 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,050$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.05 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 5,901$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.49 | 568 | 9.9%56 W · 512 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a7…6e9bbacked Yes | 40c | 5,794$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…811fbacked No | 51c | 5,790$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 28c | 5,685$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 69c | 5,429$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 77c | 5,270$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.77 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 33c | 5,229$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.12 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…a14cbacked Yes | 38c | 4,998$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…f660backed No | 40c | 4,940$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 37c | 4,631$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.36 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…a961backed No | 41c | 4,435$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…90c2backed No | 41c | 4,321$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 24c | 4,200$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.13 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes | 31c | 4,194$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed No | 77c | 4,121$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…2d7dbacked No | 43c | 4,030$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 50c | 3,990$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…9817backed No | 42c | 3,980$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…37fbbacked No | 42c | 3,890$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,854$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.79 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…446bbacked No | 42c | 3,820$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 46c | 3,804$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 3,746$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.05 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…5b2cbacked Yes | 47c | 3,689$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 3,622$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.55 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed No | 45c | 3,620$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…69f0backed No | 63c | 3,570$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…bd68backed No | 55c | 3,540$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…3229backed No | 63c | 3,520$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc962…9c30backed No | 76c | 3,500$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 15c | 3,472$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.03 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…9fa6backed Yes | 9c | 3,457$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 3,424$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.8 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 44c | 3,386$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.66 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…8a3ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,379$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 52c | 3,314$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.97 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…b586backed No | 44c | 3,310$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,990$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.41 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 49c | 2,972$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 43cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 26c | 2,969$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.16 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…c666backed No | 42c | 2,880$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,852$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.81 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…a204backed No | 76c | 2,850$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 26c | 2,777$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.17 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,763$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 52c | 2,702$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.36 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…3c48backed No | 76c | 2,700$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 37c | 2,646$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.72 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 66c | 2,617$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…ad60backed Yes | 27c | 2,583$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a3a3backed Yes | 70c | 2,500$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 16c | 2,417$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…f419backed No | 43c | 2,390$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 33c | 2,377$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.17 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…4294backed No | 65c | 2,367$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…175bbacked No | 48c | 2,340$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 8c | 2,298$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes | 75c | 2,257$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 20c | 2,224$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 17c | 2,116$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…95d4backed Yes | 33c | 2,063$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 10c | 2,051$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 57c | 2,020$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.61 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11bd…d461backed No | 41c | 2,000$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,987$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 17c | 1,934$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…af1ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,891$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,818$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,803$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 1,802$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,764$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.27 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…8bbcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,762$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 65c | 1,756$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 1,748$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.58 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 1,717$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.3 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?this page
- Will Aaron Rodgers win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Bryce Young win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will C.J. Stroud win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Caleb Williams win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Cameron Ward win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Dak Prescott win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Daniel Jones win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Derrick Henry win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jared Goff win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jayden Daniels win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Joe Burrow win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Jordan Love win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Justin Herbert win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Kyler Murray win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Lamar Jackson win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes won
- Will Maxx Crosby win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Micah Parsons win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Sam Darnold win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
- Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.