TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fc9…ace5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,604
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 476 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.52
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.63
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.86
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.01
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.92
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.54
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.66
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$6.64
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,677.9%+$2,847.53
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Showing 25 of 476 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2110.9%2 W · 209 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick7cpaid-85.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.69
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.34
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.14
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.97
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.93
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.79
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
AWS service disrupted by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.01
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.61
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT908.9%8 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick9cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+566.3%+$172.36
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.41
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.2
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.19
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.35
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.77
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT795.1%4 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,860.8%+$572.81
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.83
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.44
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.54
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.16
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.24
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.82
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.76
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.37
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$20.01
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will the Charlotte Hornets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT736.8%5 W · 68 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+313.5%+$77.81
James Norton announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.31
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.89
Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.36
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.12
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.46
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.76
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.31
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.18
Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT611.6%1 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-96.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.85
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.65
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.76
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.92
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$120.57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.86
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$239.97
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$311.29
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$157.94
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.91
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.87
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$142.57
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT6010%6 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.06
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.11
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.17
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+642.5%+$240.98
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.18
Will between 400 and 409 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Will between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$110.19
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57.47
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$111.31
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.94
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.66
Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.33
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.46
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT585.2%3 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.37
Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.72
Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+129.3%+$31.05
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$87.68
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.08
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.14
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.49
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56.39
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$72.4
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.63
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36.12
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.65
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$57.94
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51.41
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.57
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.08
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+381.6%+$182.92
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 19% and 22% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.1
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.39
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.78
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.82
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$103.14
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.57
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.28
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.34
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.97
Megaquake before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+1,942.5%+$2,338.37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.38
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
Megaquake in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57–58°F on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or higher on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63–64°F on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST478.5%4 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$151.08
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.68
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,166.4%+$2,786.41
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.56
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+551.1%+$904.63
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.46
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70.46
Will Christina Aguilera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.97
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65.48
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.92
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$210.83
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$326.52
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$96.15
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$209.1
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.77
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.42
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+67.2%+$20.39
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$53.23
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$76.1
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68.57
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+304.2%+$160.44
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT419.8%4 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.7
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+413%+$51.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,539.3%+$276.42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.81
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78.36
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.78
Will Russia capture Zarichne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.02
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.97
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.46
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$184.57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.81
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.22
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT400%0 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.3
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.69
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3511.4%4 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.61
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+271.7%+$54.34
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+381.6%+$1,418.83
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$101.99
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,373.4%+$3,987.77
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$336.52
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90.06
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$101.99
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$101.43
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$43.19
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$76.57
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$55.51
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$37.22
Lighter Airdrop on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.87
Lighter Airdrop on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.88
Lighter Airdrop on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.34
Lighter Airdrop on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.94
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2711.1%3 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+457%+$305.86
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.33
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+518.1%+$68.42
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.91
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+265.9%+$463.51
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.03
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.53
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.68
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-71.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.43
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.98
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.11
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.64
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.65
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.35
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.51
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.05
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.76
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.45
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+218.7%+$82.02
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.92
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+266.7%+$383.03
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.01
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.56
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.89
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.75
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.25
Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.21
All 24 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-82.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.74
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$163.71
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.46
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.46
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.89
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+314.6%+$710.87
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.53
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.03
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
Will France win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.71
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116.08
Will China win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$91.03
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$48.34
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.54
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.95
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.61
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59.27
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.85
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.31
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.67
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.32
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.41
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.37
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.71
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Hurricanes (To Advance)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.45
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.94
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.96
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.65
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.99
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.19
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.52
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.94
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.23
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.34
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.43
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$121.19
Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Stubhub’s market cap be less than $7B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.35
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.59
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.89
China-EU trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.41
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.13
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.11
Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.94
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$83.53
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+671.1%+$425.65
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.08
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.23
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+437%+$227.13
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.57
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$166.26
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$86.91
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$176.44
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.48
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.45
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.46
Will a team from LCP (Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.68
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.22
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$53.81
Will NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.03
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37.31
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.09
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.22
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.11
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.48
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+250.6%+$45.99
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.83
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.67
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$106.75
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$53.57
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$389.47
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$205.16
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$120.67
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.45
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$79.21
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.45
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$309.89
Will Dillon Danis win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+155.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+2,712%+$889.09
Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.88
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.55
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.59
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+731.6%+$334.42
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.96
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.38
Will Andrew Putnam win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 Sony Open in Hawaii tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+722.8%+$131.08
Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.55
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.93
Will Opendoor dip to $4 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$86.63
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.46
Will Google reach $315 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+151.9%+$30.37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$76.98
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.16
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.41
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the Lucknow Super Giants win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will the Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+88%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.65
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$69.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 326?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.