Music · resolved market
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1273529f13b4d7e56a0cd3228e4482fa863b760452fc6bd3f6e1d908cf5e8c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $745,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 65,960$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.86 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 2c | 18,086$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 2c | 13,867$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 3c | 12,396$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.05 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…3b86backed Yes | 2c | 10,888$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,406$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 10,275$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 2c | 10,255$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 2c | 8,684$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 3c | 8,114$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,434$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 2c | 6,707$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 5c | 6,509$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 5,550$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed Yes | 2c | 5,508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 2c | 5,493$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 2c | 5,264$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,049$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,909$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 3,437$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,402$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed Yes | 2c | 3,273$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 3c | 2,869$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 2c | 2,586$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…7fc4backed Yes | 2c | 2,551$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…ada3backed Yes | 2c | 2,507$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,303$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 2c | 1,974$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 2c | 1,852$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…f716backed Yes | 2c | 1,813$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 3c | 1,799$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…9b11backed Yes | 3c | 1,781$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,641$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…7077backed Yes | 2c | 1,621$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,601$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,501$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…66b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,477$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…a471backed Yes | 2c | 1,387$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,372$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…15b5backed Yes | 1c | 1,367$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,311$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…afe8backed Yes | 1c | 1,212$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,208$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,174$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 2c | 1,172$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…8b3ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…96a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,095$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,071$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…a262backed Yes | 2c | 1,029$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…b898backed Yes | 2c | 1,012$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,010$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…ed66backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…d4a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…d375backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 3c | 999.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…dc56backed Yes | 5c | 996.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…55b0backed Yes | 2c | 936.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…2bd1backed Yes | 2c | 920$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…93b7backed Yes | 2c | 919.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…9519backed Yes | 1c | 906$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 895.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…1976backed Yes | 2c | 893.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…7804backed Yes | 2c | 864.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 4c | 835.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 2c | 824.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 2c | 810.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 2c | 792.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…4a07backed Yes | 1c | 785.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…b1aebacked Yes | 2c | 758.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…808fbacked Yes | 1c | 756.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…65dbbacked Yes | 1c | 754.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…f058backed Yes | 2c | 749.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…c5bcbacked Yes | 1c | 729$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 7c | 723.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…eb23backed Yes | 2c | 714.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…591fbacked Yes | 2c | 673.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…b1e7backed Yes | 3c | 627.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…8f36backed Yes | 2c | 615.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…e574backed Yes | 2c | 598.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes | 3c | 582.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…627dbacked Yes | 3c | 559.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…f258backed Yes | 3c | 549$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…7fc7backed Yes | 2c | 539$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…db73backed Yes | 2c | 506.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 2c | 464.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 3c | 443.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.