TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f43…65fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
985
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT20325.6%52 W · 151 L-0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$43.91
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT15119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.35
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.55
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$133.93
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.18
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.04
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.3
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.29
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6918.8%13 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.18
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+720.2%+$927.07
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$227.56
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.53
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.41
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$137.58
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41.09
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$112.77
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$104.1
Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90.42
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$137.08
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.05
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$194.56
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90.94
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.95
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$141.14
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6136.1%22 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$32.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$65
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$75.6
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+614.3%+$430
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.48
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.48
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+376.2%+$158
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$102.8
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$76.04
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.55
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.33
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$204
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$42.03
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.59
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.45
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.15
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.23
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+52.5%+$120.5
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+284.6%+$148
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$55
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.29
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.59
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+612.8%+$87.79
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.03
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.74
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$125.99
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.72
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$73.99
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.99
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will less than 12 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
2025 August third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will a hurricane form by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.99
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$162.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+274.8%+$89.68
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$267
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$128
Megaquake in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.45
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.77
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+181.3%+$289.98
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.7
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.51
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$97.99
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$117.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Pafos FC vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$145
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$27.9
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Atlético Madrid win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$15.47
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$36
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$58.83
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$30
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68.58
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$105
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+229.7%+$209
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+141.9%+$557.3
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+30.2%+$3.48
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+46.7%+$7.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+1,288.9%+$185.6
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$83
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Belinda Bencic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$98.48
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.29
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Madison Keys win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Naomi Osaka win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+48.8%+$82
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+341.2%+$231.86
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$89
Will Fartcoin reach $2.00 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.71
Will Fartcoin reach $1.80 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.79
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$74.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44.3
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+400%+$400
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.78
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.71
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.06
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.43
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.17
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.83
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$133.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+156.4%+$42.7
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Belmont Bruins vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$71.69
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+386.1%+$556
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$53.81
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $85m and $92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$189
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will egg prices drop this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.82
Will AFC Bournemouth win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+203%+$40.2
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.1%+$19.45
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.6
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SC Braga win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.32
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$134
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$104
UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$94.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-73.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.5
League of Legends: Natus Vincere vs. Karmine Corpbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+203%+$90.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.