Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2663a7e6103ef0a81f0a29639b5d46b39d3f4faaceca51f2dbeb243568f2c0a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 9,481$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,108$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.95 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,005$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 2,939$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.6 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 2,350$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.65 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.13 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 69c | 2,081$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 1,065$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 978$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.63 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 45c | 882.83$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 673.87$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.58 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 58c | 673.69$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 29c | 666$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 30c | 635$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.68 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 59c | 619.08$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 55c | 600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.62 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 553.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 63c | 443.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 408.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 374.03$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 33c | 369.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Yes | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Yes | 27c | 300.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 41c | 299.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 58c | 282$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 236.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 225.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 23c | 215$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 195$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…aea6backed Yes | 66c | 181.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 40c | 172.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 154.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 55c | 128.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 29c | 115.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 105.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 91.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 57c | 70.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 69.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 46c | 64.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…2a3abacked Yes | 61c | 59.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…cf43backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…dc93backed Yes | 61c | 22.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…e378backed Yes | 70c | 20.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 70c | 16.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.