TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9346…ea03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT5246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Hannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$30.4
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$124
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.59
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$343.11
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$52.83
Will Hannover 96 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
1. FC Magdeburg vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+176.9%+$337.79
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$30.57
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+41.9%+$220.47
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+206.2%+$61.86
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$76.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$97.29
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$111.11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.35
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$652
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick60cpaid-66.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.95
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,428
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$103
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.