Champions League · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdece3c9a32a0244f9dc4622feadd31f74dec86b02399454db743cc59a5e23eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,204,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,326,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,204,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 72c | 5,241,361$3,766,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766,849.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked No | 27c | 1,500,000$405,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 27c | 1,000,000$270,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 29c | 770,251$224,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545,337.42 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 27c | 620,199$170,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450,189.72 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 28c | 283,024$78,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,777.26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 38c | 200,000$76,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,000 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,000 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 28c | 70,097$19,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,298.78 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No | 29c | 61,556$17,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,870.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 27c | 60,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,800 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 41,229$13,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,051.63 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 28c | 40,000$11,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,649.94 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 33,441$11,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,087.74 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 28c | 27,600$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,010 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 27c | 25,405$6,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,579.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 24,922$17,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,674.88 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,600 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 17,024$11,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,496.6 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 16,974$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.56 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950.35 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,349.97 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 27c | 13,489$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.62 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed No | 27c | 13,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,490 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 12,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 32c | 12,452$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,452.11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 27c | 12,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720.07 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 11,975$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,521.05 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 11,724$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,646.49 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 28c | 11,111$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.92 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 28c | 10,439$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495.79 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 28c | 10,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 31c | 9,856$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,770.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed No | 27c | 9,700$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,081 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 27c | 9,660$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 72c | 8,400$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked No | 27c | 8,000$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Yes | 68c | 7,372$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 6,230$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.85 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 31c | 6,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 30c | 5,532$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.86 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 27c | 5,500$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked No | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 5,110$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.56 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 37c | 4,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 27c | 4,500$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 4c | 4,417$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 33c | 4,364$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.63 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 4,161$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.92 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked No | 28c | 4,035$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 40c | 4,028$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.52 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 33c | 4,013$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.71 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.94 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 28c | 3,986$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.22 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 28c | 3,978$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 36c | 3,828$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 29c | 3,699$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.84 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed No | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 27c | 3,450$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,304$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 32c | 3,099$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 3,071$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.97 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 49c | 3,034$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 29c | 3,016$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 28c | 2,958$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.56 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 2,557$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.71 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 28c | 2,430$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.6 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,391$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.27 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…bee1backed Yes | 68c | 2,389$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 28c | 2,315$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.46 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 69c | 2,237$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 28c | 2,200$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 32c | 2,139$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.23 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,858$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.93 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed No | 27c | 1,850$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed No | 34c | 1,847$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed No | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 29c | 1,782$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 35c | 1,781$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.74 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 15c | 1,779$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.88 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 56c | 1,747$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.39 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 63c | 1,733$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.85 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 1,563$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.39 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked No | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 72c | 1,518$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.