TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x006c…16ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
368
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST9652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$128,999.98
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,437.11
East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$256,636Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$289,397.72
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84,019.4
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$101,354.31
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$149.48
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$109,328.07
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40,236.98
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$43,451.86
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74,505.24
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$245,000
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99,997.5
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$281,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$305,148.52
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+71.7%+$83.5
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)backed Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$230,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$260,311.55
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$78,400
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,555.64
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$149,118.63
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$96,163.18
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59,873.38
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27,000
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)backed Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$98,000
Bellarmine Knights vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265,000
Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-6.5)backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$138,860.99
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.65
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST6832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$230,000
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$156,000
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21,600.51
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11,367.06
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$305,316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$388,583.66
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50,000
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$151,383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$185,023.81
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97,842Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$105,995.13
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12,049.88
Spread: Tulane (-8.5)backed Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Spread: Tulane (-9.5)backed Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26,259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+123.7%+$32,487.68
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21,601Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+118.9%+$25,684.61
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$36,800
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,086.82
Wyoming vs. Fresno Statebacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26,800
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12,000
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+154.8%+$121,500
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$6,200
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$8,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$8,400
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$7,600
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$569
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21,846.13
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17,986.65
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,669.41
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$10,649.99
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,618.93
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,270
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,197.21
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17,413Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$21,282.68
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5,760
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,349.99
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,536.81
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38,967Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$37,439.06
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,901.37
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,032.05
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.72
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,535
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,284Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$4,267.75
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,261Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$4,919.31
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,784.98
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.74
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,520Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4,480
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$5,880
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,140
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38,449Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$35,491.72
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,580
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,900
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,500
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11,880Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6,120
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST4452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$158,558.79
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28,985.46
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11,285.83
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$260,000
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262,801Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.4%+$242,742.72
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265,000
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$138,689.86
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$191,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$207,792
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84,002.05
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$41.31
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$230,396.13
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103,259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$107,473.19
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18,548.8
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80,000
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,488
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+97.9%+$64,953.31
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$17,165.54
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$260,456.22
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$229,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$229,836.07
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$109,815
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89,904Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$97,395.59
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,692Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,175.67
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127,180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$122,192.38
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$177,374.79
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$212,000
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,572Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10,126.23
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$294,536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$261,192.05
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$187,553.2
Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60,000
Oilers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,254.07
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8,800
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$82,000
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$95,644.78
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97,645Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$105,782.2
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$220.62
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81,273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$75,021.09
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86,783Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$110,451.16
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45,535.73
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69,096Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+163.2%+$112,732.22
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$83,395.41
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$43,725.24
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$9,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$9,732.9
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60,155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$73,522.45
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4,800
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13,800
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41,023Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$52,211.4
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,912Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$14,066.65
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$5,980
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$117,331.76
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$43,380
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205,511.36
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35,000
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22,000
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52,500
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55,000
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,815.15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8,600
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$82,000
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$52,250
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,600
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$64,764.79
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177,000
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+127.3%+$280,000
Spread: LAR (-8.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$135,000
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$390.43
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$98,000
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59,616Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+132.6%+$79,025.75
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$5,200
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39,309Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$33,485.04
Spread: Falcons (-7.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$264.96
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,923.45
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$3,289.99
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,850
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58,277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$77,251.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,650
Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$437.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$496,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.1%+$78.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,827Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$2,766.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.