Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b17a45eb3802b0fad4175b70e47318dd55ca0a7bbcfb7d472c697b908e7937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisville Cardinalsof Louisville Cardinals, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 601,131$303,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297,594.04 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 135,054$66,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,176.53 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 124,036$57,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,656.96 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 112,000$54,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,880 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 87,244$44,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,494.37 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 34,500$17,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,905 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 30,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 15,926$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 13,824$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.38 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 13,567$6,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 12,222$6,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 12,193$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.52 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 5,325$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.92 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 3,789$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 1,060$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.4 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 825$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 750$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 635.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.58 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 414.37$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 345.01$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 70c | 285.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 279.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 169.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 146.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Louisville Cardinals | 11c | 118.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 105.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 68.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 60.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…987ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 56.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Louisville Cardinals | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Louisville Cardinals | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 24.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…8b9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PanthersLouisville Cardinals won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.