TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec5…65ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT7838.5%30 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$33.21
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$13.12
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$54.7
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$10.64
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.58
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170%+$68.42
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$53.03
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$59.66
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$30.78
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$16.03
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$24.54
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+94.8%+$44.8
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+84.2%+$9.23
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.25
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+102%+$11.38
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.08
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucknell Bison (-5.5)backed Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$323.43
East Carolina Pirates vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$619.79
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$191.68
Tulane Green Wave vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$227.68
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$266.02
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$96.4
Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.6%+$95.7
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$171.71
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$128.15
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51.99
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+93.1%+$140.97
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)backed Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.9%+$123.05
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.8
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$37.48
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.47
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)backed Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.33
Bellarmine Knights vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$33.7
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.74
Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-1.5)backed Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70.7
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$104.95
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.32
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$142.44
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$220.35
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$158.94
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$89.52
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.18
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+65.3%+$13.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$16.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$120.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$117.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.