NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fd807b01075549baefb6eb2aa9effff9831d7710016b5c8e43720ed7af5e2e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Timberwolves, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 53c | 195,188$104,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,938.28 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves | 47c | 56,430$26,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,522.1 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 49,440$22,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,741.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Magic | 55c | 24,960$13,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,232.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…80d6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 23,400$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 22,512$10,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,580.39 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 54c | 15,500$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 54c | 14,755$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440.08 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 13,313$6,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,256.85 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 13,141$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.96 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 12,183$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 10,232$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.9 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Magic | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.97 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 46c | 9,389$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…ed71backed Magic | 55c | 9,026$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…ba6bbacked Magic | 55c | 9,004$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…cf2ebacked Magic | 55c | 8,655$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…a544backed Magic | 55c | 8,651$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…aaa4backed Magic | 55c | 8,523$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e685backed Magic | 55c | 8,404$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…739abacked Magic | 55c | 8,313$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…f2eabacked Timberwolves | 47c | 8,085$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f185backed Magic | 55c | 8,011$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 55c | 7,880$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 7,691$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…cbf3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…b02cbacked Magic | 55c | 7,313$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,782$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.54 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Timberwolves | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…719ebacked Magic | 55c | 5,971$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 5,628$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.92 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,550$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.46 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Magic | 54c | 5,550$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 46c | 5,444$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,296$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 4,729$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.14 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…396ebacked Magic | 55c | 4,557$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9df5backed Magic | 55c | 4,298$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…d4ccbacked Magic | 55c | 4,002$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 53c | 3,761$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.54 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…d458backed Timberwolves | 45c | 3,461$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Magic | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.33 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e8…74dabacked Magic | 55c | 2,940$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,875$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…fe0bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,852$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…06fabacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,831$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…a8cdbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,827$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…bdcbbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,820$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 2,805$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Magic | 55c | 2,799$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d2…5469backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,796$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…3b52backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,790$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…aef4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,773$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf362…c0febacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,730$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…b130backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,711$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…3172backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,663$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…4ca6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,648$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd224…a608backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,621$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6d45backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,610$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…50e9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,595$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,587$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.06 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…cba9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,560$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…b918backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,550$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…8218backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,549$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,548$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd4…b0abbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,506$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…d81dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,478$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…1f15backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,477$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…f304backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,475$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…9cd6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,455$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…6e01backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,448$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…18a3backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,448$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…cfebbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,436$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…7deabacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,418$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…fd34backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,416$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…1c0dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,412$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3571…20a2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,410$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…a40ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,409$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2783backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,401$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa9…700ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,396$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…4338backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…5cecbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…4eafbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,386$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…56e1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,373$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb591…e005backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,366$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…a7f1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,350$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…78f1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,320$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…dbf8backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,280$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…61e2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,251$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…522ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,246$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…e9cbbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,228$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,126$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.78 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…6d81backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,113$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Magic won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. TimberwolvesMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.