NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dce3b55d62f73c08f3a03aa6e6da6ae98bf914fccb13ba669e0ea32eab0a525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,414 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 70,000$34,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,990 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 49,688$25,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,441.78 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 32,840$16,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,326.65 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 30,000$15,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,794.24 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 26,113$12,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,831.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba93…2740backed Under | 50c | 22,514$11,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,257.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 49c | 19,285$9,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.5 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 51c | 19,253$9,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,380.05 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…b2d4backed Under | 50c | 16,971$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 15,131$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 15,100$7,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,428.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 10,745$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265.1 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…f2eabacked Under | 50c | 8,400$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 6,458$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 5,929$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 5,713$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 5,109$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 2,789$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Under | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.05 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.46 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 718.37$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.18 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 693.88$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 505.05$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 425.52$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 51c | 392.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 370.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 323.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 314.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 51c | 298.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Under | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 265.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 52c | 193.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 163.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 52c | 158.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 51c | 143.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 141.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 51c | 139.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Over | 51c | 138.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 132.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 51c | 128.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…159ebacked Over | 51c | 121.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 51c | 100.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 97.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 51c | 97.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Under | 57c | 89.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 205 | 69.3%142 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef0…f14cbacked Over | 14c | 83.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Over | 49c | 83.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 51c | 83.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 51c | 81.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 46c | 63.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 56.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 56.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 54.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Under | 51c | 52.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Under | 52c | 46.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 45.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Magic won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. TimberwolvesMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.