TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77a5…f731

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group Abacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.33
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.76
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$61.6
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Dbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ODDIK (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Cbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$24
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$70.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+207.2%+$121.4
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.3
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.25
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+125.6%+$41.75
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$86.7
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.8%+$33.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+614.3%+$68.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+71.5%+$54.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$50.4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Wrexham AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+60.1%+$33.8
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.55
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$81.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.5%+$25.27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$25.64
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$15.67
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$9.03
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$43.36
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-68.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$26.46
Capitals vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.37
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$81.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.