Premier League · resolved market
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744d2982ead69bd3408aeabce74f88659e9dea85a3197b76d01bb4c2130d101b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,971 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 52c | 176,529$91,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,358.72 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 47c | 124,440$59,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,353.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 55,677$27,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,514.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 53c | 24,443$12,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,954.79 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 52c | 22,564$11,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,836.66 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 48c | 12,783$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.95 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e892backed Under | 49c | 8,999$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 61c | 8,155$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.61 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 6,308$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 48c | 5,978$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.78 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 36c | 4,369$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.45 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 4,192$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.84 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 53c | 4,182$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.39 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c8…9349backed Over | 52c | 3,966$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 51c | 3,752$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.31 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.77 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 3,110$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.5 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 49c | 2,884$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 38c | 2,808$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.8 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 47c | 2,540$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 49c | 2,214$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.89 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.4 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 52c | 1,938$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,714$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.14 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 47c | 1,667$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.08 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 51c | 1,509$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.7 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 77c | 1,304$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 54c | 1,289$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.61 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 49c | 1,037$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 999.83$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 48c | 956.63$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.58 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 46c | 935.61$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.46 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 52c | 928.94$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 816.34$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.4 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Over | 51c | 771$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 48c | 645.83$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.75 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 49c | 606$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 587.2$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.34 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 55c | 507.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 60c | 503.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.87 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked Under | 59c | 493.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 52c | 484.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 464$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 35c | 461.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 452.4$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 38c | 406.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 76c | 406.53$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 391.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Under | 57c | 368.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…84cfbacked Over | 55c | 356.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 29c | 335.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 49c | 317.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 63c | 315.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 73c | 266.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 45c | 265.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…6b46backed Over | 54c | 245.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 75c | 242.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 43c | 221.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 38c | 203.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…1374backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +107%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 53c | 187.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d323backed Over | 11c | 175.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…2f56backed Under | 48c | 174.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 171.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 165.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 161.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Over | 51c | 160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 48c | 154.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 49c | 148.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 34c | 145.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Mansfield Town FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Mansfield Town FC won
- Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Mansfield Town FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.