TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ba…51eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.88
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.63
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.09
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.85
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$54.43
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.85
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$172.49
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.36
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$369.46
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$345.49
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+72.6%+$144.21
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$34.72
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.39
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.3
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.78
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.41
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+32%+$9.21
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.67
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.37
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$190.29
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.6%+$32.5
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.8%+$54.61
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pune: Michael Geerts vs Felix Gillbacked Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$351.92
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+67.5%+$13.5
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.72
Les Sables d'Olonne: Lisa Pigato vs Diana Martynovbacked Martynov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.67
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.1%+$25.25
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Qatar Total Open: Ann Li vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Camila Osorio vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+55.3%+$394.11
Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Varvara Grachevabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Maya Jointbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+30.2%+$56.74
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+97.8%+$48.88
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.45
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200.01
Ostrava Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$74.68
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjenbacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.29
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$202.21
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$605.86
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.58
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.32
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$106.33
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.69
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.43
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$35.52
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30%+$30.03
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$14.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$98.1
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.62
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$27.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+39.1%+$40.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.