NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb83d6b0a5cdd4b29d6c2511a143a894f4d93f0acf4e680c3ff7aa26a933eeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,526,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,526,501 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,069 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 40c | 349,999$140,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,999.57 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 41c | 295,262$121,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,204.93 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Cavaliers | 60c | 227,056$136,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,233.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers | 59c | 190,000$112,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,152.93 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 145,366$85,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,454.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 125,000$74,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,749.77 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 112,742$67,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,645 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 41c | 100,000$41,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,999.95 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 59c | 73,665$43,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,683.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 41c | 54,365$22,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,977.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 75c | 54,113$40,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,426.89 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 42c | 47,700$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,668.41 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 47,645$25,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,438.79 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 59c | 46,991$27,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,724.63 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 38,774$17,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,056.49 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 36,832$21,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,795.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 47c | 35,918$16,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,082.91 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 56c | 33,878$18,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,923.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Cavaliers | 52c | 28,057$14,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,681.18 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Magic | 48c | 25,853$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,353.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 12c | 25,438$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.62 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 41c | 24,493$9,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,520.8 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Cavaliers | 60c | 23,502$14,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,003.11 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Cavaliers | 28c | 23,248$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Cavaliers | 48c | 21,000$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.41 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 5c | 19,045$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 60c | 18,835$11,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,474.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers | 44c | 18,697$8,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,283.16 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 40c | 18,167$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,901.34 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 46c | 17,417$8,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,022.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…43b8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 17,033$10,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,389.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 13,766$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Magic | 54c | 13,600$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.44 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Magic | 78c | 12,795$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.95 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 58c | 12,383$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.17 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 66c | 11,757$7,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.82 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 11,695$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Magic | 40c | 11,651$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.7 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 11,200$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Magic | 40c | 11,200$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 80c | 10,975$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.35 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 39c | 10,732$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.33 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Magic | 40c | 10,625$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.99 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Cavaliers | 60c | 10,578$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 10,433$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.36 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Cavaliers | 7c | 10,203$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Cavaliers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Cavaliers | 3c | 9,933$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Magic | 53c | 9,882$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.96 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Magic | 41c | 9,327$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,847$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.2 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 42c | 8,759$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.3 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Magic | 49c | 8,363$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 40c | 8,100$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked Magic | 41c | 8,000$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 8c | 7,980$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 60c | 7,880$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.56 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Magic | 41c | 7,737$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,546.84 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 56c | 7,625$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.2 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Magic | 41c | 7,330$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.71 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Magic | 42c | 7,115$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.37 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 6,909$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…d644backed Cavaliers | 60c | 6,868$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa3…a2c4backed Cavaliers | 60c | 6,758$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.85 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Magic | 55c | 6,266$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.67 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Magic | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers | 0c | 5,682$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,670$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.83 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 43c | 5,566$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.62 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Magic | 61c | 5,548$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.03 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Cavaliers | 2c | 5,228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Magic | 41c | 5,220$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Cavaliers | 59c | 5,000$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.4 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Magic | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 15c | 5,000$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.14 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Magic | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Cavaliers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.53 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…49ecbacked Magic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Magic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.93 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Magic | 41c | 4,902$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,884$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 34c | 4,799$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 42c | 4,768$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.43 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Cavaliers | 60c | 4,700$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc268…1298backed Cavaliers | 60c | 4,700$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 4,623$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.74 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 57c | 4,616$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.75 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Magic | 54c | 4,574$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.8 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 24c | 4,545$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.55 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Magic | 41c | 4,500$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.97 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Cavaliers | 60c | 4,400$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.49 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Magic | 46c | 4,221$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.92 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…e07cbacked Magic | 40c | 4,100$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.96 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,024$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 40c | 4,020$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.26 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Magicthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 244.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.