NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cddb5fe76ccb1759a1394db13d71bc55b72a7337bf8b20af889a5706e3e8c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,222 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,644$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…a4e2backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…2e3bbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 4,063$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.07 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…33eebacked Over | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…239dbacked Under | 48c | 3,844$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 48c | 2,760$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.95 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Over | 53c | 2,675$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.66 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 2,661$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…3e88backed Under | 48c | 2,566$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717c…2777backed Under | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…f1a0backed Under | 48c | 2,356$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b72…71bcbacked Under | 48c | 2,356$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629a…b1a4backed Over | 52c | 2,185$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685c…5b68backed Over | 52c | 2,170$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…80eabacked Over | 52c | 2,120$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…d40abacked Under | 48c | 2,111$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…0c7dbacked Over | 52c | 2,070$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…c642backed Over | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…8a55backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7326…8d01backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…afb7backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…83ddbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…27b5backed Over | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…e61bbacked Over | 52c | 1,920$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…3cc3backed Under | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…117dbacked Over | 53c | 1,870$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…2151backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…7674backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…ab7fbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…07c5backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…7f56backed Over | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 1,405$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…9802backed Over | 52c | 1,390$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…fe55backed Over | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…5abebacked Over | 52c | 1,212$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…c586backed Over | 52c | 1,128$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…cc9fbacked Over | 52c | 1,124$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9c58backed Over | 52c | 1,123$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…16d0backed Over | 52c | 1,113$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…3902backed Over | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…2f96backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…7477backed Over | 52c | 1,099$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…340abacked Over | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…c269backed Over | 52c | 1,069$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…9499backed Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…e03dbacked Over | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…75e7backed Over | 52c | 1,047$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…ee39backed Over | 52c | 1,036$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc344…7ee8backed Over | 52c | 1,022$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Under | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 47c | 959.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.01 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Over | 53c | 939.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.57 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 925.45$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 873.85$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 52c | 639.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 614.31$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 577.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 53c | 567.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…c431backed Over | 53c | 566.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Under | 47c | 520.35$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.08 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 16c | 507.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 46c | 504.49$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…fbbbbacked Under | 48c | 495$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…46aebacked Under | 48c | 490$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 53c | 486.79$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.79 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…0e28backed Under | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3004…3c06backed Under | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…2793backed Under | 48c | 460$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…e475backed Under | 48c | 455$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…1e42backed Under | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…c320backed Under | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…2d48backed Under | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…c8d3backed Under | 48c | 445$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…6a78backed Under | 48c | 440$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…3f78backed Under | 48c | 440$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…8262backed Under | 48c | 440$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…7b36backed Under | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…bff2backed Under | 49c | 430$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…aefcbacked Under | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 425.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…c2f4backed Under | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…b49ebacked Under | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…3f3cbacked Under | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e63…7d2dbacked Under | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…fda3backed Under | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…ff2fbacked Under | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bb…7bebbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…cf4abacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…1cd2backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Under | 48c | 392$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…0d82backed Under | 48c | 390$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…25a9backed Under | 49c | 390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. MagicMagic won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 244.5Over won
- Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.