TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91fd…1cde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,123
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT77348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 773 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,580.5%+$54,259.67
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,584.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$726
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,650
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,000
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.85
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.88
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.95
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,783Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+50%+$6,396.23
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.93
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.92
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,899.99
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,699.99
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,893.1
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,199.98
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,097.85
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$2,594.6
Showing 25 of 773 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT13948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$4,750
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,300
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,750
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,949.97
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,050
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600.4
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.96
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$5,175
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,050
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$7,849.98
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT11048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,379.03
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$3,876.58
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,529.97
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,950
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,889.77
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$263.36
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$5,250
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.85
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,626.9
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.79
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,131.56
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,500
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-12.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,534
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,999.98
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,684.22
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,399.99
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,527.7
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,544.97
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)backed Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,541.31
Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,299.56
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,849.93
ATX Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,800
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,699.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,630.07
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$2,750
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$392.4
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$4,724.99
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$4,874.99
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,603.88
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$950
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,641.75
Australian Open Women's: Karolina Muchova vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$950
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,086.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,480
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$4,499.99
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$153.42
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+455.6%+$8,200
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$124.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,900
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,150
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,850
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,249.99
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,949.99
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,900
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,600
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,700
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,400
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,097.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.7%+$4,674.99
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,550
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,875Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,624.98
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37%+$2,025
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,550
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,100
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$4,479.81
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$6,034.98
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,935.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+163.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,850
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,899.97
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$27.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$4,410
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,600
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.