Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbdcbe6ce32ae242ccc8bbfc0bbe8f66971b8d4156039f4cb17a00bf5d4a91f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 59c | 6,706$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.19 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 5,459$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.41 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 47c | 4,893$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.56 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,370$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 2,224$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.7 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 55c | 1,802$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.09 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 1,171$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.58 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 58c | 862.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 40c | 547.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 394.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 54c | 367.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 366.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 52c | 307.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 42c | 237.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Over | 42c | 198.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Under | 59c | 171.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 149.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 136.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 44c | 112.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 40c | 108.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 105.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 78.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 71.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 28c | 67.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 42c | 59.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 39c | 56.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 56c | 44.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 42c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 45c | 22.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Under | 56c | 19.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 59c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State VikingsPortland State Vikings won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 142.5Over won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.