TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1bb…6cc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10849.1%53 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$9.75
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.25
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)backed Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.65
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.77
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.95
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.16
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.76
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+99%+$39.27
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.22
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-3.5)backed Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-2.5)backed Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.78
Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-8.5)backed Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-5.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.95
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT7454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$34.42
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.99
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.6
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$29.4
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Forca Lleida CE vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Forca Lleida CE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Shanxi Loongs vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$17.38
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ningbo Rockets vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$15.96
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$14.73
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+253.5%+$152.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan Bearsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$29.21
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$22.41
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinosbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.96
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.