NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0914421073c697f7f1eda45fb7bc24781852bc491539b37a554bc7e034a5dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,996,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,055,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,996,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 871 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Ducks | 46c | 405,533$186,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,987.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Ducks | 20c | 395,485$78,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316,566.17 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Oilers | 54c | 241,789$130,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,565.85 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 78c | 182,985$143,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,094.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 45c | 85,197$38,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,126.21 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oilers | 73c | 62,152$45,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,382.53 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Ducks | 46c | 49,995$22,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,997.36 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2db0backed Oilers | 0c | 47,003$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Oilers | 54c | 42,495$22,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,947.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Oilers | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600.03 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oilers | 54c | 35,917$19,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,394.95 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Oilers | 56c | 35,775$20,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,032.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers | 53c | 32,700$17,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,330.95 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 75c | 29,819$22,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,336.94 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Ducks | 38c | 29,751$11,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,313.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Oilers | 54c | 29,048$15,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,694.3 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 53c | 25,000$13,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,349.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Oilers | 54c | 24,119$13,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,024.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Oilers | 73c | 23,341$16,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,939.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Oilers | 54c | 21,752$11,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,745.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Oilers | 70c | 13,829$9,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,617.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Ducks | 60c | 11,403$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.21 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Ducks | 34c | 11,054$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,338.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 54c | 11,026$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.59 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ducks | 20c | 10,841$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,672.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Oilers | 80c | 10,080$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,064 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Ducks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 46c | 9,634$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.32 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Ducks | 48c | 9,442$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.49 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Oilers | 78c | 9,176$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Oilers | 53c | 9,140$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 21c | 8,781$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.45 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Oilers | 72c | 8,725$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.83 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Ducks | 49c | 7,805$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 47c | 7,766$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.09 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Oilers | 74c | 7,485$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers | 53c | 7,391$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Ducks | 48c | 7,182$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.08 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 53c | 7,060$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.63 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 60c | 6,297$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 39c | 6,265$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…194fbacked Ducks | 19c | 6,238$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 54c | 6,000$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 53c | 5,859$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.11 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Ducks | 40c | 5,610$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.62 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Oilers | 71c | 5,462$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.09 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Ducks | 21c | 5,199$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oilers | 61c | 5,000$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed Oilers | 54c | 4,989$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ducks | 45c | 4,635$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.05 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Oilers | 66c | 4,373$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.95 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Ducks | 49c | 4,304$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ducks | 25c | 3,925$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.12 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 53c | 3,698$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.08 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 32c | 3,481$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.04 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Ducks | 52c | 3,242$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.96 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 33c | 3,197$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.69 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Ducks | 20c | 3,076$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Oilers | 67c | 3,052$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.56 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oilers | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.29 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ducks | 47c | 2,875$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.15 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Ducks | 25c | 2,849$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.34 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 69c | 2,676$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.27 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Oilers | 72c | 2,616$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Ducks | 18c | 2,606$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.16 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,564$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 56c | 2,542$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.86 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Ducks | 53c | 2,460$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,406$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.13 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Oilers | 1c | 2,390$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…d661backed Ducks | 48c | 2,381$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Oilers | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,319$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.62 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Oilers | 54c | 2,281$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.13 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Ducks | 40c | 2,266$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.34 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Oilers | 55c | 2,247$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.66 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Oilers | 67c | 2,200$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.91 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Oilers | 28c | 2,161$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Oilers | 54c | 2,119$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.51 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Ducks | 47c | 2,110$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.28 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Oilers | 79c | 2,096$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.79 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 47c | 2,054$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.38 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Ducks | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Oilers | 78c | 2,010$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Oilers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Oilers | 54c | 1,977$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Oilers | 53c | 1,929$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Oilers | 53c | 1,862$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.89 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Oilers | 55c | 1,859$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.54 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Oilers | 35c | 1,725$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.98 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Ducks | 45c | 1,724$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.29 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 35c | 1,683$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Oilers | 67c | 1,681$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.77 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Oilers | 68c | 1,661$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Oilers | 78c | 1,649$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 45c | 1,648$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.98 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Oilers | 52c | 1,647$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Oilers | 53c | 1,607$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Ducks | 21c | 1,588$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.26 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Ducksthis page
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.