TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f92…1862

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5463%34 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,740
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,734.63
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,738.28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,009.78
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$2,214.63
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,571Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,007.34
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$590.97
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$880.33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$194.83
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,894.62
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,017.21
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,410
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$1,499.24
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,625
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$425.43
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$519.37
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,108.49
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$145.71
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$190.56
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,002.13
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$187.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,353.19
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,058.33
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,425
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,549.22
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$2,447.37
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$435
Spread: Bills (-10.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.1%+$162.22
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$642.23
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,867.98
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$4,664.34
Ravens vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$624.37
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499.25
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.6wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,745.87
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.54
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,768.5
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$453
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5,513
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,947Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,866.03
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,764
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,894Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$5,451.16
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6,045.68
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,011.52
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$775
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$770
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$515
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$655.45
Golden Knights vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$930.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,038
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,836.48
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5,551.88
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,488.6
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$463.01
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.33
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$358.24
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,243.23
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,877Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3,248.99
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$4,521.08
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,822.17
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.59
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,216.13
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,759Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,691.45
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-5.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,594Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,414.25
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,957Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$3,994.88
Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$119.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bogota: Alex Hernandez vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$287.5
Set Handicap: Gibson (-1.5) vs Charaeva (+1.5)backed Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,543.85
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)backed Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$1,987.05
Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$157.3
Delray Beach Open: Terence Atmane vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$242.78
Argentina Open: Vit Kopriva vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$395
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$408
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Spread: Troy (-2.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,300
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$281.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$799
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.