NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x386c70eb5b79e8d6b05bc371033387f0b9a5d93180429dfc6f13fc25dd526adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,083,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,286,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,083,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Seahawks | 57c | 2,218,312$1,275,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943,003.88 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 49ers | 41c | 990,058$408,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408,090.12 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Seahawks | 59c | 470,712$277,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,991.94 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 36c | 455,125$161,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,627.28 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked 49ers | 41c | 450,000$186,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,999.98 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks | 62c | 424,371$264,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,743.81 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seahawks | 60c | 391,732$234,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,044.44 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers | 42c | 295,702$124,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,245.89 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked 49ers | 42c | 233,070$97,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,889.49 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Seahawks | 60c | 220,449$132,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,179.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Seahawks | 59c | 214,698$126,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,083.92 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 40c | 192,683$77,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,073.23 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…5ea2backed 49ers | 23c | 169,043$38,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,900.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 43c | 156,142$67,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,315.55 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed 49ers | 41c | 154,146$63,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,782.63 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed 49ers | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Seahawks | 58c | 91,724$53,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,124.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed 49ers | 44c | 88,625$38,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,871.76 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seahawks | 75c | 82,645$62,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,497.44 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Seahawks | 57c | 79,301$45,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,064.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks | 56c | 65,042$36,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,595.26 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked 49ers | 40c | 58,144$23,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,338.88 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked 49ers | 43c | 58,140$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 79c | 57,182$45,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,911.5 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks | 73c | 52,864$38,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,186.16 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 49ers | 12c | 52,530$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.24 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed 49ers | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 49ers | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed 49ers | 43c | 49,738$21,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,387.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers | 39c | 46,787$18,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,430.16 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…003fbacked 49ers | 33c | 45,013$14,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,860.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Seahawks | 78c | 41,983$32,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,408.47 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Seahawks | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,400 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed 49ers | 47c | 39,825$18,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,717.75 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 49ers | 41c | 33,800$13,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,857.96 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Seahawks | 58c | 33,113$19,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,929.61 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks | 73c | 30,385$22,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.84 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed 49ers | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked 49ers | 45c | 29,701$13,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,236.75 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed 49ers | 5c | 29,000$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.39 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Seahawks | 77c | 26,500$20,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Seahawks | 59c | 25,570$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,569.84 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed 49ers | 25c | 25,000$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Seahawks | 54c | 24,707$13,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,365.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Seahawks | 56c | 24,444$13,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,755.36 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Seahawks | 78c | 23,660$18,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Seahawks | 75c | 22,953$17,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.13 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed 49ers | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seahawks | 79c | 21,249$16,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.42 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed 49ers | 37c | 20,865$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,616.25 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed 49ers | 1c | 20,367$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed 49ers | 13c | 18,651$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Seahawks | 62c | 18,000$11,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,910 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked 49ers | 42c | 17,727$7,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,445.42 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Seahawks | 59c | 17,453$10,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155.54 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…bf96backed Seahawks | 58c | 17,044$9,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Seahawks | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.15 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Seahawks | 59c | 16,348$9,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 2c | 16,154$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.54 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers | 40c | 15,954$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,381.77 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed 49ers | 7c | 15,580$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed 49ers | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed 49ers | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed 49ers | 1c | 15,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 49ers | 44c | 14,914$6,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560.96 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed 49ers | 44c | 14,461$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Seahawks | 59c | 13,536$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…0214backed 49ers | 2c | 12,758$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked 49ers | 41c | 12,653$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.73 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed 49ers | 41c | 12,500$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Seahawks | 57c | 12,323$7,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked 49ers | 35c | 12,110$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.47 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed 49ers | 17c | 11,747$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 49ers | 46c | 11,658$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.22 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked 49ers | 2c | 11,234$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Seahawks | 70c | 11,188$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.76 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed 49ers | 42c | 11,000$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked 49ers | 43c | 10,875$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Seahawks | 57c | 10,850$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Seahawks | 68c | 10,821$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.52 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 69c | 10,235$7,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.8 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed 49ers | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Seahawks | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed 49ers | 44c | 10,000$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.98 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed 49ers | 46c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.85 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked 49ers | 41c | 9,635$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed 49ers | 37c | 9,225$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.98 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…9ecfbacked 49ers | 35c | 9,194$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Seahawks | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked 49ers | 42c | 8,905$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.8 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed 49ers | 42c | 8,716$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed 49ers | 37c | 8,631$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked 49ers | 30c | 8,540$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.28 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…45c1backed Seahawks | 59c | 8,470$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed 49ers | 29c | 7,902$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked 49ers | 18c | 7,753$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed 49ers | 45c | 7,627$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Seahawks | 59c | 7,411$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.45 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seahawks vs. 49ersthis page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-0.5)Seahawks won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.