TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65cd…1e0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 50 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST3745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,799.96
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,242.56
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,479.86
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$6,628.98
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.8%+$5,151.18
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$5,200
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,029.98
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,299.95
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$5,399.93
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$4,031.62
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,550
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,503.39
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,600
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,307.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,392.83
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,711Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$4,782.85
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.3%+$370.85
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$57.57
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+205.9%+$2,043.01
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$5,552.53
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$5,379.42
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,581.35
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$3,297.76
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11,439.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$2,688.49
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,549.9
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,521.64
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$545.06
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$385.65
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6,093.77
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,299.96
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+32.1%+$6,183.04
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$367.03
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,984Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.5%+$4,445.35
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 79.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,219.22
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.8%+$5,943.39
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$262.71
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16,361.31
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,026Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+98.3%+$5,921.27
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+194.1%+$102.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,224.03
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,198.32
Spread: Queens (NC) Royals (-6.5)backed Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,996
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$6,834.6
Georgia State Panthers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,873.99
NJIT Highlanders vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,539Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$3,990.98
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+71.1%+$1,084.65
Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$792.36
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$74.4
Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,554.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26,755.82
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,853Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.4%+$1,635.42
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11,682Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.8%+$6,520.75
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+119.3%+$12,237.71
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,156.98
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.3%+$873.83
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$5,100
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$660
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$229.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$483.82
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,234.64
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$4,600
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$463.28
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$555
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.