NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c7a0adf3c1359a8fc8bc60a2993dc4ae50fafc917030a964ed74d1f4555404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,178,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,221,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,178,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 66c | 385,274$256,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256,028 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 11c | 354,621$39,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315,612.42 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 10c | 273,890$28,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,762.47 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Hornets | 11c | 192,313$21,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,158.49 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Hornets | 10c | 100,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,999.98 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 10c | 84,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,599.94 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Hornets | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,799.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hornets | 10c | 79,698$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,010.1 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets | 10c | 74,445$7,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,279.3 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Hornets | 19c | 60,087$11,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,637.88 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 22c | 47,397$10,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,327.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 28c | 43,044$11,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,983.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 22c | 34,909$7,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,675.71 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Thunder | 12c | 34,334$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.67 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 78c | 34,127$26,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,767.08 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 53c | 31,320$16,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,710.19 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Thunder | 5c | 31,150$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.06 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets | 11c | 31,000$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,589.95 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 58c | 30,000$17,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,449.43 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Hornets | 10c | 30,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,899.92 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hornets | 10c | 29,999$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,149.4 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…a002backed Thunder | 15c | 26,100$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Hornets | 69c | 22,958$15,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,047.71 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Hornets | 75c | 20,395$15,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Hornets | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 79c | 18,888$14,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,905.17 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 41c | 18,352$7,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,877.19 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Hornets | 12c | 16,144$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,206.51 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hornets | 9c | 16,000$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,512.94 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Hornets | 12c | 15,001$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200.82 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Hornets | 10c | 14,522$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,021.6 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Hornets | 9c | 14,449$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,193.21 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Thunder | 23c | 14,411$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Thunder | 23c | 14,272$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 10c | 13,220$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,898 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Thunder | 12c | 11,758$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 45c | 11,232$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 12c | 11,055$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,777.56 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…1f7bbacked Hornets | 77c | 10,944$8,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Hornets | 75c | 10,240$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Hornets | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Hornets | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.98 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…c1aebacked Thunder | 39c | 9,759$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Hornets | 56c | 9,724$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.95 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Hornets | 79c | 9,223$7,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.18 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.91 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Hornets | 9c | 9,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Hornets | 64c | 8,927$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.27 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Hornets | 62c | 8,533$5,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.11 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Thunder | 47c | 8,520$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Hornets | 54c | 8,355$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.42 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Thunder | 13c | 7,949$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.18 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Hornets | 44c | 7,594$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.92 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Thunder | 48c | 7,055$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Thunder | 40c | 6,988$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.42 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 39c | 6,874$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.15 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 11c | 6,763$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Hornets | 57c | 6,726$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.32 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets | 14c | 6,184$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.21 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 59c | 6,081$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Thunder | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Hornets | 10c | 6,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 45c | 6,000$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.95 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 44c | 5,431$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.75 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…babfbacked Hornets | 78c | 5,217$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 54c | 5,146$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.84 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Hornets | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hornets | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Thunder | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Hornets | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hornets | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.96 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Hornets | 17c | 4,839$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.92 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fddabacked Hornets | 11c | 4,518$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.18 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 41c | 4,337$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Thunder | 25c | 4,051$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hornets | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.36 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed Thunder | 9c | 3,626$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hornets | 11c | 3,600$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Hornets | 53c | 3,413$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.14 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Hornets | 10c | 3,406$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.37 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Thunder | 49c | 3,361$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.11 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Thunder | 41c | 3,357$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.21 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Hornets | 68c | 3,102$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.02 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hornets | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Thunder | 9c | 2,935$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 149 | 24.8%37 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Thunder | 12c | 2,917$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…8e0bbacked Hornets | 9c | 2,850$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 23c | 2,784$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Hornets | 78c | 2,764$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Hornets | 55c | 2,688$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Hornets | 11c | 2,683$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Hornets | 80c | 2,600$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Hornets | 29c | 2,580$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.79 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 30c | 2,557$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.47 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Thunder | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.