NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb35e7333a6fd0395c4746b773067d23891776d1b22d8868fac3f07b723c9eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 90,287$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,287.27 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 78,831$39,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,415.52 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Under | 50c | 29,808$14,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,904 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 29,197$14,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,598.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 8,431$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 50c | 6,071$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.99 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 51c | 5,620$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.8 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 4,372$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.06 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 4,021$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 53c | 3,830$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.79 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 3,444$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 1,486$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,108$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Under | 73c | 890.55$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 750.77$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 694.77$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 51c | 98.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 52c | 56.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4050…6265backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…8d35backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 29.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 49c | 21.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ThunderHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.