TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb338…606e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST5550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$301.73
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+161.8%+$129.8
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.88
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$53.25
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$35.7
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$11.6
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.46
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26.22
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$291.36
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53.54
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54.98
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.6
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76.8
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$90.44
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+168.3%+$153.97
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$156.79
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$127.2
Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$56.2
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47.94
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.74
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4949%24 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$222.6
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+107.8%+$83
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$495
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$500.76
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$594.08
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.85
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$150.4
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+158.6%+$184
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+187.2%+$170.78
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.99
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+131.4%+$204.4
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.74
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+239%+$211.5
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.5%+$275.78
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+187%+$557.05
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$919.2
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$151.9
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.68
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$303
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$110.92
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$656.91
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$100.11
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.87
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,854.16
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$283.51
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$992.68
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54.54
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$486.08
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.14
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$99.84
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.5
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$69.12
Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.28
O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$51.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.1
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$50.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.45
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Guardians vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (W)backed Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.