NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63de1cd3aad5d10055280e36c0b1b8b3a32a803974270eb491e891dab57a12ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Mavericks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,108,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,219,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,108,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 881 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Mavericks | 22c | 645,543$140,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,829.08 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks | 6c | 189,965$11,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,297.53 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 78c | 126,345$98,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,434.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Spurs | 78c | 112,942$88,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,602.95 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks | 21c | 112,338$23,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,288.13 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 78c | 108,739$85,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,674.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs | 79c | 91,782$72,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,274.18 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 23c | 78,217$17,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,674.48 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 78c | 65,000$50,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,300 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 78c | 48,267$37,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,738.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Mavericks | 7c | 43,766$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs | 78c | 34,209$26,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,385.26 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Spurs | 78c | 26,009$20,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.29 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 78c | 21,718$16,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…61f0backed Spurs | 79c | 21,000$16,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 78c | 20,712$16,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 78c | 20,362$15,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.55 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 1c | 18,670$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 79c | 18,340$14,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Mavericks | 21c | 18,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 20c | 17,496$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Mavericks | 23c | 17,005$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Spurs | 78c | 16,394$12,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.65 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Mavericks | 23c | 15,026$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.37 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Spurs | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Spurs | 78c | 14,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Spurs | 79c | 13,950$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.12 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Spurs | 78c | 13,255$10,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks | 1c | 12,843$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 8c | 12,410$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.75 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks | 22c | 12,309$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.98 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Mavericks | 26c | 12,299$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Spurs | 78c | 12,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 21c | 12,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 14c | 11,872$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.01 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 77c | 11,235$8,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.96 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs | 79c | 10,978$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.38 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks | 20c | 10,620$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.54 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 21c | 10,396$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.12 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Mavericks | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Mavericks | 22c | 9,862$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.27 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mavericks | 6c | 9,501$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.52 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 21c | 8,192$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.79 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Mavericks | 10c | 8,118$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…d67abacked Spurs | 79c | 8,101$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Spurs | 79c | 7,600$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Spurs | 77c | 7,001$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.23 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 0c | 6,959$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Mavericks | 21c | 6,809$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 78c | 6,419$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.42 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Spurs | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Spurs | 80c | 5,720$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Mavericks | 4c | 5,400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Spurs | 78c | 5,243$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.48 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Mavericks | 23c | 5,149$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.16 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Spurs | 78c | 5,148$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.65 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…eaefbacked Spurs | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Spurs | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Spurs | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Mavericks | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Mavericks | 4c | 4,909$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs | 79c | 4,880$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Mavericks | 22c | 4,834$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.45 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mavericks | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed Spurs | 78c | 4,757$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.83 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Mavericks | 22c | 4,725$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.45 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…bf4dbacked Spurs | 78c | 4,570$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 77c | 4,280$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Mavericks | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…03bebacked Mavericks | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Spurs | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Spurs | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…e916backed Mavericks | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Spurs | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Spurs | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Mavericks | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Mavericks | 13c | 3,800$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Mavericks | 17c | 3,742$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Spurs | 78c | 3,650$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 0c | 3,632$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Spurs | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Spurs | 78c | 3,307$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.56 | 228 | 57.5%131 W · 97 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Spurs | 78c | 2,949$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.72 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed Mavericks | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 78c | 2,800$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Spurs | 78c | 2,742$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.96 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Spurs | 80c | 2,704$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Spurs | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c2b9backed Mavericks | 14c | 2,665$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…65f7backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,600$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Mavericks | 18c | 2,579$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.17 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fe…c96bbacked Mavericks | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.