NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe63750da86625f73c6a29b1cdc0d2d2d338634d85325777b41af91b45bca50fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 10,278$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.01 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,495$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 7,437$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 3,579$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 56c | 2,668$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.48 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 1,627$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.37 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,382$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,008$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 835.39$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 783.58$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Over | 67c | 450$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 16c | 221$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 40c | 220$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 169.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 53c | 147.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Under | 9c | 129.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 108.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 95.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 45c | 91.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 74c | 86.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 64c | 62.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over | 51c | 60.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 51c | 52.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 48c | 50.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 54c | 31.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 52c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 47c | 21.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.