TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1c7…d11e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+103.9%+$27.31
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69.38
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$154.05
Spread: Heat (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+121.1%+$18.71
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+107.7%+$22.94
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.27
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.1%+$36.29
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+87.8%+$58.07
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+101.2%+$42.33
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+102.8%+$21.02
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.57
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.77
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$51.82
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+105.6%+$20.64
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.75
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.09
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$36.08
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.74
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.22
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.85
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.22
Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+95.5%+$33.93
Spread: USC Trojans (-3.5)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$159.56
San Jose State Spartans vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+106.9%+$35.29
Clemson Tigers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+113.5%+$27.36
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.14
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$42.56
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. California Baptist Lancers: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+109.2%+$85.58
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.86
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.07
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
South Dakota Coyotes vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+110.3%+$28.78
Mercer Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$89.07
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.2
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.91
Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.76
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.8%+$6.04
Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.48
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+136.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.5%+$112.82
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33%+$5.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Racing Club vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.