NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32cf6f36e7aca08c0dd91aa477df9eb2df808acbd3c10c381e250316a64014dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 141,326$74,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,535.27 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 48c | 55,507$26,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,780.28 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 38,611$18,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,463.93 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 35,597$18,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,236.9 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 47c | 25,515$11,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,522.87 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 19,234$9,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,714.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 12,967$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.96 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 10,474$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.48 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 8,864$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 50c | 8,520$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 7,791$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,021$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 58c | 5,948$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.86 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 4,595$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.49 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 3,654$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.08 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 3,398$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,018$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,829$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 2,709$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.23 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.91 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.77 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 1,879$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.29 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,825$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,631$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 1,491$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.32 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 1,383$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 49c | 1,337$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,255$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 1,199$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.3 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 48c | 1,145$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.23 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 37c | 1,049$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 47c | 1,032$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.91 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Under | 53c | 938.95$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 916.14$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.23 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 865.02$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.51 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 746.94$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 562.56$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 442.51$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 421$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 405.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 402$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 45c | 384.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 60c | 333.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.31 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 50c | 310.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 310.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 309.08$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 48c | 307.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 66c | 298.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 283.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 259$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Under | 48c | 236.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 7c | 229.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Over | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Over | 50c | 195.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 162.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 155.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 149.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Under | 71c | 146.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 18c | 142.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 39c | 132.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 117.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 47c | 107.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd213…8ee7backed Over | 49c | 98.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 89.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 70c | 63.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked Over | 50c | 57.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 25c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 43c | 51.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…a7aebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 48c | 44.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 42.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Over | 59c | 40.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 40.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-24.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-27.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-31.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.