NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772e0b3780d20111fd2e0e5f30f0bf6dbcd4e9881f82860b37a34961e2b0b89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $495,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 223,270$119,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,844.29 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 126,737$65,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,334.86 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 46c | 46,769$21,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,435.16 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 30,000$14,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 44c | 9,725$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.24 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 9,171$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 44c | 6,426$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.56 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 53c | 4,940$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.27 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 4,060$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 3,920$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 45c | 3,076$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.56 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 51c | 3,039$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 54c | 2,679$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.7 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 2,599$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 2,247$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 2,088$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 1,945$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.36 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…8255backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926e…229fbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1a5abacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171a…7221backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…eeefbacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…4610backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7a…ae77backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…6367backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…78a3backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…f0c8backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…e5e5backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00b…e8a3backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…e68ebacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…30b3backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3325…894dbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0230…5baebacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…287cbacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…91f6backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…181bbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…0e6abacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…a7f9backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…8a0cbacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b58…ee43backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…5d5fbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…82d3backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…559fbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b9d5backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…0104backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…5098backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…8eedbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…46b4backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…8bcbbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…8834backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6b…5b0abacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf99…5bc7backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…bc41backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…c43bbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…61dcbacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…ad63backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b7…ef13backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…be52backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653f…f477backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…1969backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ed…40babacked Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a6…dcf7backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf230…2c86backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…f932backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…932cbacked Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…a272backed Over | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 1,259$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…7779backed Over | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 1,169$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 56c | 1,145$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdace…2253backed Over | 58c | 1,035$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 54c | 862.96$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 835.52$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.12 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 23c | 812.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Under | 51c | 785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.65 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 739.24$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 683$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 641.63$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 45c | 391.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 379.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Over | 69c | 355.3$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 42c | 330.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 54c | 318.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-13.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-22.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-24.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-27.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-31.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.