TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1997…2e36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
414
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT18747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$357.5
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12,790.92
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26,988.12
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$367.43
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37,899.79
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$572.22
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4,000
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,744
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14,499.99
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12,000
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21,500
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,100
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,899.99
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$982.24
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$10,800
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,361.7
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,450
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,720
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT8158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,000
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,119.12
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,834.58
BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallobacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$589.47
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$384.9
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,085Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+68.7%+$2,120.72
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$831.16
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+233.3%+$980
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$2,700
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$9,630.1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9,181.16
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,231.35
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$599.99
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$41.98
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$667.89
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,960
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.3%+$1,462.94
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+45.4%+$1,133.84
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127%+$1,412.15
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+54.9%+$1,142.27
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.38
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$119.45
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4535.6%16 W · 29 L-8.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,762.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.67
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,641.54
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,254.71
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,526.78
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,425.19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,753.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$8,648.72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$203
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$576.45
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,644.07
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22,699.22
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$177.66
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$290.78
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$158.72
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$930.78
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30,570.69
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$10,094.04
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$259.99
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$7,502.84
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36,797.76
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,393.68
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+198.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+259.2%+$1,705.43
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.73
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+4,364.9%+$2,618.92
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42,551Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.5%+$15,953.4
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$17.23
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.5%+$1,952.86
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,914Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+32%+$1,252.62
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+45.8%+$89.85
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.7%+$373.86
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,947Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+39.6%+$1,564.3
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,024Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.3%+$4,485.67
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16,214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+134.3%+$21,772.15
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14,699.05
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$398.55
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$423
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+333.1%+$699.91
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+48.2%+$144.7
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$574.99
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.97
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mike Bloomberg endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,600
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+101.6%+$827.07
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+82.1%+$2,705
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,550
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,080
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$920
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+67.8%+$678.32
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$3,144.67
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,798.36
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,405
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$4,442.31
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+221.1%+$4,820
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,995
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,464.93
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+97.5%+$1,307.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,893.93
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,263.82
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,767Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14,314.1
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3,000
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,000
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,000
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,990
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,200
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,199.86
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11,699.87
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,199.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$499.79
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,328.64
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,470
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,274.49
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$305
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,620
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+102.9%+$2,535.2
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$112.2
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,040
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$520
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$198.84
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,439.98
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.5%+$164.01
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,331.15
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.2%+$719.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$991.84
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$538.46
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+149.6%+$6,385.58
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,063.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+392.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+392.6%+$1,556.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.