Spread: Argentina (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8fe87f649fc790e848dc96e0ff98f13ae8fc8dc4450818064bd9ca9421b45e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cabo Verdeof Argentina, Cabo Verde
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $633,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $635,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,546 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Cabo Verde	79c	185,498$145,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,652.79	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c2…2ab0backed Argentina	21c	163,499$34,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,334.81	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Argentina	22c	59,242$12,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,923.3	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	20c	57,453$11,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,351.22	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cabo Verde	79c	21,123$16,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,447.17	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina	21c	20,730$4,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,354.16	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Cabo Verde	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde	80c	10,910$8,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,204.98	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Argentina	21c	10,456$2,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,191.2	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Argentina	20c	8,872$1,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,774.38	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Argentina	21c	8,712$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.49	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Argentina	9c	7,504$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.16	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Argentina	20c	7,500$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina	22c	7,418$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,598.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Argentina	22c	6,550$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,441	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Argentina	21c	5,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Argentina	15c	4,951$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.64	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Cabo Verde	79c	4,300$3,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Cabo Verde	79c	4,300$3,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.99	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Argentina	20c	3,746$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.15	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Cabo Verde	79c	3,692$2,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.24	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cabo Verde	79c	3,534$2,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.12	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina	21c	3,131$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.51	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Argentina	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Cabo Verde	79c	2,937$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.03	167	59.9%100 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x404d…66c4backed Argentina	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Argentina	21c	2,332$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.75	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Argentina	21c	2,010$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.16	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Argentina	20c	1,962$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Cabo Verde	79c	1,500$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Argentina	21c	1,500$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.45	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Argentina	21c	1,496$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.24	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Argentina	19c	1,300$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Argentina	21c	1,271$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.83	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked Cabo Verde	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.82	45	66.7%30 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Cabo Verde	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.34per pick	44cpaid	+137.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina	17c	1,247$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.14	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Argentina	21c	1,229$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Argentina	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x843d…b73abacked Cabo Verde	80c	1,076$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.2	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cabo Verde	78c	1,025$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.54	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Argentina	21c	1,019$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.39	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Argentina	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Argentina	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Argentina	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Cabo Verde	79c	996.42$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.56	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Argentina	21c	942.86$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Argentina	21c	921.29$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.47	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Argentina	22c	915.14$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.33	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…9c50backed Argentina	23c	884.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Cabo Verde	79c	858.34$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.32	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Cabo Verde	79c	805.56$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.5	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f9…ac3bbacked Cabo Verde	80c	732.1$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Argentina	22c	723.59$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.19	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Argentina	21c	700$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Cabo Verde	79c	600$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	524	55%288 W · 236 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Cabo Verde	79c	599.98$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	120	32.5%39 W · 81 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Cabo Verde	79c	594.94$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.94	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Argentina	16c	562.5$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Argentina	16c	513.96$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Argentina	22c	513.64$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Argentina	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Argentina	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Cabo Verde	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Argentina	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Argentina	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina	18c	495.25$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.71	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d5…7344backed Argentina	21c	482.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ec…c0e0backed Argentina	21c	479.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Argentina	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	25%26 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cb…9550backed Argentina	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Argentina	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Argentina	21c	466.67$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Argentina	22c	455.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Cabo Verde	79c	454.86$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.52	167	58.7%98 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Argentina	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-6.6wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bed…9fd6backed Argentina	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Cabo Verde	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Cabo Verde	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95a…e0bebacked Cabo Verde	80c	390.29$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.06	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Argentina	18c	386.07$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.06	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cabo Verde	79c	384.15$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.89	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abd…03e3backed Cabo Verde	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Cabo Verde	79c	373$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.65	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Argentina	21c	368.48$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.38	140	35.7%50 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Argentina	21c	362$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.02	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Argentina	21c	350$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Argentina	21c	320.09$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.91	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Cabo Verde	78c	318.89$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.89	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d9…1e71backed Argentina	23c	306.16$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a4…8c2ebacked Argentina	15c	305$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+4.8wins	+0.22per pick	24cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Argentina	14c	302.3$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Argentina	21c	301$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.21	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Cabo Verde	79c	300$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	277	65.3%181 W · 96 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Argentina	15c	253.78$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Argentina	21c	250$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Cabo Verde	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Argentina	21c	249.97$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fe…979bbacked Argentina	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	181	37.6%68 W · 113 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf53c…a9f3backed Argentina	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-3.5)this page
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event