TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7c3…20e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
749
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Earnings, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT63757.6%367 W · 270 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 637 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.52
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$44.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.82
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.92
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$49.91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$49.91
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$38.92
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$33.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$41.44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$44.33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.49
Showing 25 of 637 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT7823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$30.82
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.06
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.98
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+403.6%+$56.34
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.15
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.45
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.24
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.92
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.64
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.9
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$135.48
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$247.87
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.51
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.28
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$37.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75%+$43.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$31.94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$57.42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$33.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$52.44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$42.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Wimbledon ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinskibacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguetbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.56
Wimbledon WTA: Lanlana Tararudee vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
ITF Brussels: Harold Huens vs Olle Wallinbacked Harold Huens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.