TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$443,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over8c58,150$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,494.83230%0 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over7c31,725$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.761,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over8c16,420$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c15,302$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c13,184$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.13626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over3c13,163$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.091,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over8c10,000$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738a…b44cbacked Over8c5,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over7c5,000$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.521140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over7c4,694$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over5c4,379$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c3,246$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over5c3,215$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.992,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Over8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403613.9%5 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over1c2,447$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over4c2,375$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over5c2,293$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5317659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over8c1,806$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6b…6da3backed Over5c1,754$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+225.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over8c1,494$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over7c1,300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9143826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over8c1,300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.75128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-82.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over7c1,250$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.481,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over8c1,212$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1212117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Over7c1,200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Over2c1,186$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.657823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dde…2217backed Over3c1,140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.35825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.678617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over7c911$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.771226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over1c856.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over6c842.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over2c820$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…3c1dbacked Over8c774.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60140%0 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over5c747$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over5c621.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over8c599.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…2a11backed Over3c560$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over4c526.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9379…f116backed Over10c517$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over8c503$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9825510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6b…65dbbacked Over8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over8c500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3829813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58de…9169backed Over3c499.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over8c475$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over7c401.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6332837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over6c392.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over7c380$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.359830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36b…f805backed Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Over8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over10c370.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over8c330.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over7c305.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over8c258.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over8c257.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2946525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209319.4%18 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4929…f37abacked Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over8c250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over12c240$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over7c222.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over5c218.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57418.9%14 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb5…9400backed Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Over8c199.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155020%10 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over8c152.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.730039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Over8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124122%9 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over9c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fba…700cbacked Over8c145.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.642119%4 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.