TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$794,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$836,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under6c42,816$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.9222348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under3c37,401$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.9541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under3c31,073$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.9224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under10c25,926$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.092,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Under5c25,000$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.494652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under6c24,408$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.486016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under6c22,222$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under5c20,836$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.8932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c20,000$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.315929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c19,524$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.6530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Under6c18,182$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under5c17,217$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.8720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Under5c15,658$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.274037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Under6c13,000$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7152425%6 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under5c12,681$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under7c12,444$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9431945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under6c10,472$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.955334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under9c10,443$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.5811149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Under5c10,000$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.992119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under6c10,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under9c9,505$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.3574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Under7c7,529$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under4c7,000$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under10c6,668$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under5c6,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9912224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Under6c5,857$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.11226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Under8c5,144$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.872544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under8c4,864$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under5c4,381$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.989840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under7c4,055$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.477025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under5c3,568$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.261,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under1c3,339$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under6c3,096$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Under5c3,000$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.55911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under6c3,000$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.542710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under6c2,966$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4522746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under5c2,819$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14824028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under10c2,710$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under2c2,500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Under5c2,500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2514043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dcc…e816backed Under8c2,291$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under6c2,009$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.499150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under6c2,000$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Under12c1,644$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f5…82b5backed Under6c1,603$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under5c1,500$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Under5c1,400$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.518027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under6c1,324$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under6c1,220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under9c1,217$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.521,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…cd26backed Under7c1,152$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under6c1,106$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under8c1,102$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0111637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Under9c1,032$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.42516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under10c1,005$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under10c1,002$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…50b7backed Under6c1,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.52433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under5c1,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.516927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under1c968.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.791756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc1…c13fbacked Under5c952.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…3b07backed Under6c910.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.632729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under6c910$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Under5c900$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.256232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66c…58b9backed Under6c869.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503112.9%4 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa425…a8bbbacked Under6c869.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…4128backed Under6c869.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.151513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under10c847$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.71,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under5c845.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.643,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Under6c800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4416747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under6c799.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under10c743.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.391,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under10c742.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under9c737.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7829450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Under8c735.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under3c700.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.011375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Under6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under6c666.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6746939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under7c640$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7330137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f0…0556backed Under8c618.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.432445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under6c609$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.542,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under6c604.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8710715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under9c599.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.59243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under7c572.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2712954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Under5c571.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012815.6%20 W · 108 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3276…4be4backed Under6c521.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010217.6%18 W · 84 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa44…b7e6backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under6c486.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2842332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…9088backed Under10c476.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under6c466.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0129813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under7c445.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5737348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under6c433.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.011,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8d…2218backed Under5c400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under6c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under6c380.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under3c359.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under5c350$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3819723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Under6c347.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Under6c347.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.