Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348ce064262ca993f9a439a871a367a5f95858884311330fdff4768f7aa94fed

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $161,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $148,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x61a8…e2f5backed Under	16c	17,091$2,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,734.61	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under	14c	11,421$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,598.99	207	31.4%65 W · 142 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	16c	9,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	15c	7,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.98	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	15c	4,054$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.15	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	15c	4,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.99	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	21c	3,840$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.03	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	19c	3,780$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	18c	2,663$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.94	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	16c	2,500$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.36	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	16c	2,500$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.09	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Under	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	4c	2,258$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41b…9397backed Over	78c	2,020$1,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.48	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	19c	1,657$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.97	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	15c	1,380$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.64	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	16c	1,365$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.55	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	20c	1,356$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.19	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	22c	1,252$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.7	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	19c	1,137$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.3	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked Over	80c	1,125$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	100	65%65 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	16c	1,122$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.52	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	16c	937.48$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	15c	694.58$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.24	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f23…40b4backed Under	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over	80c	542.24$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.04	161	63.4%102 W · 59 L	+25.7wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under	22c	510$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under	16c	502.34$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.35	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf6…cc47backed Over	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.18per pick	64cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	15c	483.47$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.11	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Over	80c	480$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	22c	459.77$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.88	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under	3c	454$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Over	79c	449.99$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Over	78c	352.48$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.47	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa105…71ccbacked Under	17c	343.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b63…03d6backed Under	16c	313.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.18	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	21c	243.22$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edb…e61ebacked Under	15c	233.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	15	40%6 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	16c	220$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	19c	217$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.46	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	20c	200.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.07	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3300…ead7backed Over	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	16c	179.96$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	15c	174.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Under	23c	171.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.41	151	30.5%46 W · 105 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	20c	155.63$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	80c	150$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	80c	150$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	80c	150$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	15c	149.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Over	78c	142.33$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.17	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…4141backed Under	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a9d…3c03backed Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+11.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	23c	108$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Under	19c	107.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	22c	102.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	15c	101.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed30…87b1backed Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	39cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d41…7c1abacked Under	16c	84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	16c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	79c	78.2$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.42	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under	16c	67.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Under	16c	66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	16c	64.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over	79c	63.54$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9879…c709backed Over	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	80c	48.36$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3964…14f0backed Over	79c	35.35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.42	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over	80c	14.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.9	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5this page
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event