Spread: England (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d64ff826067a88d125173890b470ce99f1328da7b33bb038627ef67661fa10

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Norwayof England, Norway
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,413,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,405,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,413,404 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Norway	77c	354,900$271,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83,045.89	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked England	26c	143,742$38,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,068.39	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Norway	74c	101,420$74,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,872.65	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed England	26c	41,304$10,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,635.87	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed England	26c	36,720$9,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,547.21	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	27c	32,129$8,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,518.97	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	26c	28,939$7,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,515.04	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed England	26c	25,001$6,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,416.72	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed England	26c	20,700$5,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,433.75	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked England	26c	20,400$5,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,303.96	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Norway	74c	18,929$14,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,928.97	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked England	27c	18,000$4,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,881.23	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed England	23c	17,550$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080.37	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed England	26c	17,124$4,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,452.13	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed England	27c	17,000$4,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,638.72	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England	26c	15,702$4,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,154.1	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed England	27c	15,500$4,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,221.22	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Norway	73c	15,325$11,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,149.39	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Norway	74c	15,275$11,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,997.34	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked England	26c	15,238$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Norway	74c	14,777$10,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,843.58	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed Norway	72c	13,976$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,976.43	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed England	26c	13,901$3,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,649.01	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed England	26c	13,800$3,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,622.5	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed England	25c	13,500$3,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,404.7	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Norway	76c	13,101$9,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,170.56	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed England	23c	12,514$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,879.94	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked England	27c	12,500$3,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,412.49	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed England	26c	12,404$3,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,225.04	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Norway	74c	11,500$8,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,006.24	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed England	27c	10,800$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,943.98	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked England	29c	10,500$3,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,018.75	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa5…e160backed Norway	72c	8,583$6,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,381.68	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35a…08c9backed England	0c	8,559$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed England	26c	8,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed England	27c	8,000$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.99	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed England	27c	7,471$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.27	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked England	22c	7,000$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	245	55.1%135 W · 110 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Norway	74c	6,627$4,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,751.54	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Norway	74c	6,527$4,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.86	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway	78c	6,228$4,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.01	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England	23c	6,061$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.25	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	15c	5,851$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.62	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked England	23c	5,782$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked England	28c	5,468$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530.9	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England	11c	5,282$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed England	26c	5,000$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.5	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed England	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed England	0c	4,820$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+34%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England	20c	4,586$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.27	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b076backed England	22c	4,495$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed England	28c	4,379$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215.2	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England	12c	4,136$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.27	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Norway	74c	4,040$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.4	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x716a…285dbacked England	0c	4,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed England	26c	4,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Norway	74c	4,000$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Norway	73c	3,900$2,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.25	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Norway	74c	3,836$2,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.64	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked England	7c	3,540$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.99	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed England	28c	3,500$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.24	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed England	29c	3,478$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-5.9wins	-0.20per pick	46cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd095…dcd9backed England	26c	3,462$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-41%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed England	26c	3,456$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.26	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f5…17a8backed Norway	74c	3,378$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$878.38	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked England	18c	3,304$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.65	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Norway	79c	3,261$2,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Norway	73c	3,190$2,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.5	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Norway	71c	3,144$2,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.85	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Norway	74c	3,051$2,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.52	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked England	26c	3,048$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Norway	74c	3,000$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed England	21c	3,000$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.47	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed England	19c	2,911$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.96	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked England	26c	2,828$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.24	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Norway	71c	2,797$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.2	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Norway	73c	2,639$1,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.83	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed England	0c	2,574$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked England	29c	2,554$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.78	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Norway	75c	2,239$1,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.75	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed England	1c	2,221$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed England	26c	2,208$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.08	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked England	28c	2,195$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.21	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked England	27c	2,092$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-7.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0390…da52backed England	29c	2,087$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Norway	74c	2,027$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.03	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed England	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Norway	74c	2,000$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	214	50.5%108 W · 106 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Norway	74c	2,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked England	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed England	28c	2,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Norway	72c	2,000$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.99	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Norway	74c	2,000$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.99	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed England	14c	1,983$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed England	26c	1,905$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked England	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed England	29c	1,739$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked England	17c	1,695$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.74	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed England	27c	1,666$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.81	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…f06cbacked England	12c	1,659$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.16	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-1.5)this page
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: England (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)England won
Spread: Norway (-5.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event